Tue, Mar 31, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York
New Jersey Devils 1, New York Rangers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 05 | 113 | 05 | 123 |
| NYR | 28 | 113 | 12 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:14NYRConor ShearyAssists: Tye Kartye, Will Borgen · Tip-in, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 13:39NYRJ.T. MillerPPGWGAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–2
- P2 0:51NJDConnor BrownPPAssists: Nico Hischier, Luke Hughes · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–2
- P2 11:12NYRJaroslav ChmelarAssists: Braden Schneider · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 3:49NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Gabe Perreault, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 12:25NJDDougie Hamilton: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 0:45NYRGabe Perreault: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 6:58NJDBrenden Dillon: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:13NYRWill Cuylle: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:56NYRJ.T. Miller: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:05NJDPaul Cotter: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 9:05NJDJacob Markstrom: Goalie leave crease2 min
- P3 9:05NYRIgor Shesterkin: Goalie leave crease2 min
- P3 9:05NJDJacob Markstrom: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:05NYRIgor Shesterkin: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hughes won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- Dadonov – Bjugstad – Tsyplakov2:24
xG 0.01–0.01 (58%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Cotter – Tsyplakov3:51
xG 0.09–0.09 (50%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Glass – Hameenaho5:45
xG 0.11–0.17 (39%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer11:27
xG 0.51–0.76 (40%)attempts 11–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Nemec11:14
xG 0.77–0.13 (86%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Dillon – Kovacevic2:13
xG 0.19–0.23 (46%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
- Hughes – Nemec9:05
xG 0.16–0.25 (39%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestZibanejad – Lafrenière – Perreault9:56
xG 1.09–0.28 (80%)attempts 13–9goals 1–0
- Miller – Sheary – Kartye10:12
xG 0.71–0.26 (73%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Brodzinski – Chmelar – Laba7:38
xG 0.42–0.40 (51%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Trocheck – Cuylle – Sykora11:44
xG 0.03–0.74 (4%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Fox15:38
xG 1.61–0.95 (63%)attempts 19–18goals 1–0
- Borgen – Robertson15:47
xG 0.78–0.40 (66%)attempts 18–14goals 1–0
- Schneider – Fortescue12:45
xG 0.16–0.64 (20%)attempts 7–18goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).