Wed, Apr 1, 2026·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
St. Louis Blues 1, Los Angeles Kings 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 010 | 04 | 19 | 01 | 124 |
| LAK | 06 | 113 | 04 | 13 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 16:59LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Alex Laferriere, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P3 16:07STLRobert ThomasAssists: Philip Broberg, Dylan Holloway · Deflected, 0.12 xG1–1
- OT 1:56LAKTrevor MooreGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.23 xG1–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:25LAKBrian Dumoulin: Hooking2 min
- P1 2:12STLDalibor Dvorsky: Holding2 min
- P1 15:19LAKJoel Armia: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:33LAKQuinton Byfield: Slashing2 min
- P2 16:46STLJustin Holl: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 2:52STLJack Finley: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:52LAKTaylor Ward: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:54STLLogan Mailloux: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Dvorsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestThomas – Holloway – Snuggerud13:07
xG 0.73–0.51 (59%)attempts 17–14goals 1–0
- Buchnevich – Kyrou – Neighbours10:54
xG 0.32–0.41 (44%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Toropchenko – Suter – Finley5:02
xG 0.23–0.36 (39%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Berggren – Dvorsky – Stenberg10:25
xG 0.23–0.37 (39%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBroberg – Mailloux16:10
xG 1.26–0.36 (78%)attempts 21–10goals 1–0
- Fowler – Parayko3:19
xG 0.32–0.02 (94%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Parayko – Lindstein14:56
xG 0.37–0.69 (35%)attempts 9–19goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestArmia – Laughton – Wright8:19
xG 0.61–0.21 (74%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Joseph – Turcotte – Ward3:44
xG 0.11–0.24 (32%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Panarin14:25
xG 0.38–0.55 (41%)attempts 9–20goals 0–0
- Moore – Byfield – Laferriere13:39
xG 0.33–0.67 (33%)attempts 10–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Ceci – Anderson14:27
xG 0.62–0.77 (45%)attempts 14–19goals 0–1
- Edmundson – Clarke15:55
xG 0.69–0.87 (44%)attempts 16–20goals 0–0
- Doughty – Dumoulin16:25
xG 0.29–0.49 (37%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).