Thu, Apr 2, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Washington Capitals 3, New Jersey Devils 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 29 | 014 | 19 | 332 |
| NJD | 38 | 19 | 313 | 730 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:22NJDCody GlassAssists: Lenni Hameenaho, Nick Bjugstad · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 7:37NJDDawson MercerAssists: Timo Meier, Nico Hischier · Backhand, 0.13 xG0–2
- P1 8:15WSHCole HutsonAssists: Hendrix Lapierre, Tom Wilson · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–2
- P1 9:47WSHPierre-Luc DuboisPPAssists: Ryan Leonard, Jakob Chychrun · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–2
- P1 18:19NJDDougie HamiltonAssists: Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Slap, 0.03 xG2–3
- P2 9:10NJDJack HughesGWGAssists: Jesper Bratt, Johnathan Kovacevic · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–4
- P3 8:10NJDJack HughesAssists: Jesper Bratt, Connor Brown · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–5
- P3 9:33WSHTom WilsonAssists: Rasmus Sandin, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–5
- P3 12:16NJDJesper BrattPPAssists: Nico Hischier, Jack Hughes · Snap, 0.10 xG3–6
- P3 17:54NJDDawson MercerENAssists: Jesper Bratt, Jack Hughes · Wrist, 0.64 xG3–7
Penalties (9)
- P1 9:21NJDBrenden Dillon: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 5:06NJDTimo Meier: Slashing2 min
- P3 2:16WSHRyan Leonard: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:45NJDNico Hischier: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:22WSHDavid Kampf: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 0:00NJDCody Glass: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00WSHHendrix Lapierre: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00WSHHendrix Lapierre: Misconduct10 min
- P3 0:00NJDCody Glass: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestOvechkin – Strome – Beauvillier5:40
xG 0.43–0.03 (93%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Wilson – Dubois – Lapierre7:49
xG 0.37–0.21 (64%)attempts 5–9goals 1–1
- Wilson – Dubois – McMichael3:59
xG 0.23–0.07 (76%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Beauvillier – Sourdif – Leonard8:15
xG 0.17–0.20 (46%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSandin – Hutson2:13
xG 0.42–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 1–0
- Roy – Sandin2:18
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Chychrun – Hutson2:11
xG 0.21–0.08 (74%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Bratt – Hughes13:14
xG 0.73–0.44 (62%)attempts 14–11goals 3–0
- Bjugstad – Glass – Hameenaho8:33
xG 0.32–0.21 (61%)attempts 5–11goals 1–0
- Dadonov – Cotter – Tsyplakov4:28
xG 0.04–0.21 (17%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer13:25
xG 0.25–0.59 (30%)attempts 14–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Siegenthaler11:54
xG 0.60–0.36 (63%)attempts 11–11goals 3–0
- Kovacevic – Hughes18:22
xG 0.67–0.88 (43%)attempts 16–15goals 2–1
- Dillon – Nemec15:03
xG 0.36–0.77 (32%)attempts 15–21goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).