Thu, Apr 2, 2026·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Vancouver Canucks 2, Minnesota Wild 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 215 | 05 | 013 | 233 |
| MIN | 115 | 211 | 213 | 539 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:32MINMatt BoldyAssists: Marcus Johansson, Joel Eriksson Ek · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 16:00VANTom WillanderAssists: Teddy Blueger, Max Sasson · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 16:42VANJake DeBruskPPAssists: Filip Hronek, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.27 xG2–1
- P2 0:23MINMatt BoldyUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
- P2 6:08MINKirill KaprizovGWGAssists: Mats Zuccarello · Snap, 0.09 xG2–3
- P3 6:03MINRyan HartmanAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Quinn Hughes · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 18:52MINRyan HartmanENAssists: Kirill Kaprizov, Matt Boldy · Wrist, 0.34 xG2–5
Penalties (4)
- P1 14:07VANDrew O'Connor: Interference2 min
- P1 15:24MINJoel Eriksson Ek: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 1:20VANPierre-Olivier Joseph: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:25MINQuinn Hughes: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Blueger won the faceoff against Eriksson Ek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Douglas – Räty – Mueller5:33
xG 0.10–0.26 (29%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Blueger – Karlsson – Sasson10:51
xG 0.65–0.97 (40%)attempts 15–8goals 0–1
- DeBrusk – Pettersson – Ohgren10:11
xG 0.46–0.92 (33%)attempts 10–14goals 0–1
- Boeser – O'Connor – Rossi9:53
xG 0.12–0.65 (16%)attempts 10–15goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Joseph – Pettersson5:51
xG 0.05–0.10 (35%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
- Hronek – Buium16:08
xG 0.83–0.92 (47%)attempts 22–13goals 0–1
- Hronek – Pettersson2:07
xG 0.00–0.28 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestZuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov12:17
xG 1.06–0.38 (74%)attempts 18–9goals 2–0
- Foligno – McCarron – Trenin8:25
xG 0.88–0.25 (78%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Johansson – Eriksson Ek – Boldy8:54
xG 0.62–0.49 (56%)attempts 12–11goals 2–0
- Tarasenko – Brink – Yurov9:01
xG 0.41–0.37 (53%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBogosian – Middleton13:11
xG 1.10–0.46 (70%)attempts 14–16goals 1–0
- Hughes – Faber18:45
xG 1.25–0.67 (65%)attempts 22–15goals 3–0
- Spurgeon – Brodin11:30
xG 0.76–0.22 (77%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).