Thu, Apr 2, 2026·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Nashville Predators 5, Los Angeles Kings 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 218 | 29 | 05 | 02 | 1 | 534 |
| LAK | 09 | 310 | 113 | 01 | 0 | 433 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:52NSHFilip ForsbergAssists: Jonathan Marchessault, Erik Haula · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–0
- P1 3:47NSHZachary L'HeureuxAssists: Brady Skjei · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–0
- P2 2:02NSHJonathan MarchessaultAssists: Matthew Wood, Justin Barron · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–0
- P2 6:09LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Artemi Panarin · Deflected, 0.16 xG3–1
- P2 8:19NSHSteven StamkosAssists: Ryan O'Reilly, Roman Josi · Wrist, 0.17 xG4–1
- P2 13:29LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Joel Edmundson, Anze Kopitar · Snap, 0.16 xG4–2
- P2 15:45LAKScott LaughtonAssists: Joel Armia, Mikey Anderson · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–3
- P3 9:57LAKJoel ArmiaAssists: Jared Wright, Brian Dumoulin · Wrist, 0.18 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 2. NSH Ryan O'Reilly stopped
- 3. LAK Artemi Panarin stopped
- 4. NSH Filip Forsberg stopped
- 5. LAK Trevor Moore stopped
- 6. NSH Steven Stamkos stopped
- 7. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 8. NSH Jonathan Marchessault stopped
- 9. LAK Alex Laferriere stopped
- 10. NSH Erik Haula stopped
- 11. LAK Brandt Clarke stopped
- 12. NSH Tyson Jost stopped
- 13. LAK Quinton Byfield stopped
- 14. NSH Roman Josi stopped
- 15. LAK Joel Armia stopped
- 16. NSH Luke Evangelista scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 14:25LAKJoel Edmundson: Interference2 min
- P1 18:40NSHBrady Skjei: Holding2 min
- P1 19:51LAKDarcy Kuemper: Penalty shot throwing object at puck0 min
- P3 1:25LAKArtemi Panarin: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:01NSHJonathan Marchessault: Interference2 min
- P3 6:53LAKJared Wright: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:05NSHBrady Skjei: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00O'Reilly won the faceoff against Laferriere
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestStamkos – O'Reilly – L'Heureux10:29
xG 0.86–0.20 (81%)attempts 15–10goals 2–0
- Haula – Jost – Evangelista3:07
xG 0.56–0.37 (60%)attempts 5–6goals 0–2
- Svechkov – Kemell – Schaefer6:12
xG 0.16–0.19 (46%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Jost – Evangelista – Wood3:09
xG 0.04–0.10 (28%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJosi – Skjei17:18
xG 1.61–0.25 (86%)attempts 24–16goals 2–0
- Hague – Perbix12:25
xG 0.51–0.65 (44%)attempts 12–15goals 1–2
- Barron – Wilsby13:01
xG 0.41–0.75 (35%)attempts 13–17goals 1–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestArmia – Laughton – Wright8:58
xG 0.65–0.26 (71%)attempts 12–13goals 2–2
- Joseph – Helenius – Ward4:59
xG 0.03–0.03 (44%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Moore – Byfield – Laferriere13:01
xG 0.49–0.96 (34%)attempts 13–19goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Panarin11:18
xG 0.53–1.16 (31%)attempts 19–14goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson6:47
xG 0.36–0.13 (73%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci5:07
xG 0.32–0.44 (42%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Ceci – Anderson9:10
xG 0.41–0.58 (41%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).