Sat, Apr 4, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Montréal Canadiens 4, New Jersey Devils 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 19 | 28 | 010 | 02 | 3 | 429 |
| NJD | 015 | 210 | 112 | 01 | 2 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:58MTLJayden StrubleAssists: Cole Caufield, Arber Xhekaj · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 8:12MTLIvan DemidovPPAssists: Cole Caufield, Nick Suzuki · Snap, 0.16 xG2–0
- P2 9:28MTLLane HutsonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–0
- P2 13:08NJDDawson MercerAssists: Timo Meier, Nico Hischier · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–1
- P2 17:40NJDJack HughesSHAssists: Jesper Bratt, Jonas Siegenthaler · Wrist, 0.25 xG3–2
- P3 17:45NJDTimo MeierAssists: Jack Hughes, Dougie Hamilton · Snap, 0.05 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NJD Paul Cotter stopped
- 2. MTL Cole Caufield scored
- 3. NJD Jesper Bratt scored
- 4. MTL Ivan Demidov scored
- 5. NJD Jack Hughes scored
- 6. MTL Nick Suzuki stopped
- 7. NJD Lenni Hameenaho stopped
- 8. MTL Juraj Slafkovský stopped
- 9. NJD Cody Glass stopped
- 10. MTL Oliver Kapanen scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 13:03MTLIvan Demidov: Interference2 min
- P1 19:52NJDNick Bjugstad: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:40NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 15:38NJDBrenden Dillon: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 18:06NJDJack Hughes: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suzuki won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestGallagher – Danault – Veleno7:36
xG 0.56–0.15 (79%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Newhook – Kapanen – Demidov10:11
xG 0.49–0.48 (51%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Anderson – Evans – Bolduc10:46
xG 0.36–0.35 (50%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
- Suzuki – Caufield – Slafkovský12:43
xG 0.76–1.18 (39%)attempts 13–18goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestStruble – Xhekaj3:22
xG 0.55–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 1–0
- Struble – Hutson10:32
xG 0.54–0.06 (90%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Matheson – Guhle4:47
xG 0.23–0.12 (66%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Hischier – Mercer14:03
xG 1.00–0.40 (71%)attempts 19–9goals 1–0
- Brown – Bratt – Hughes13:11
xG 0.78–0.73 (51%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Cotter – McLaughlin – Halonen3:30
xG 0.00–0.46 (0%)attempts 0–9goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Glass – Hameenaho7:14
xG 0.11–0.79 (12%)attempts 3–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKovacevic – Hughes14:56
xG 1.18–0.90 (57%)attempts 19–16goals 1–0
- Hughes – Nemec3:07
xG 0.29–0.26 (53%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Hughes3:58
xG 0.11–0.20 (36%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).