Mon, Apr 6, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Chicago Blackhawks 2, San Jose Sharks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 17 | 012 | 110 | 229 |
| SJS | 06 | 212 | 15 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:01CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Frank Nazar, Connor Bedard · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–0
- P2 6:57SJSWilliam EklundUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 14:55SJSKiefer SherwoodAssists: William Eklund, Alexander Wennberg · Slap, 0.08 xG1–2
- P3 3:28SJSWill SmithGWGAssists: Collin Graf, Macklin Celebrini · Snap, 0.18 xG1–3
- P3 6:09CHIFrank NazarPPAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Anton Frondell · Slap, 0.10 xG2–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:00SJSMacklin Celebrini: Holding2 min
- P1 18:08CHIConnor Bedard: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:15CHILandon Slaggert: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:34SJSDmitry Orlov: Cross checking2 min
- P3 4:21SJSBarclay Goodrow: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bedard won the faceoff against Celebrini
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Donato – Nazar – Bedard2:34
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Mikheyev – Frondell10:09
xG 0.34–0.52 (40%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Mangiapane – Slaggert – Boisvert6:02
xG 0.00–0.21 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Bedard – Lardis8:00
xG 0.28–0.58 (32%)attempts 5–12goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Rinzel9:28
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Del Mastro – Korchinski7:26
xG 0.45–0.43 (51%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Kaiser – Korchinski2:38
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Celebrini – Graf13:32
xG 0.86–0.13 (87%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Wennberg – Sherwood – Eklund9:31
xG 0.43–0.14 (76%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Toffoli – Chernyshov – Misa10:30
xG 0.58–0.38 (60%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Dellandrea – Ostapchuk6:39
xG 0.04–0.19 (18%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeddy – Dickinson13:02
xG 0.80–0.32 (72%)attempts 15–8goals 1–0
- Orlov – Desharnais15:20
xG 0.49–0.14 (78%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Desharnais – Ferraro2:04
xG 0.15–0.09 (63%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).