Mon, Apr 6, 2026·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Nashville Predators 2, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 04 | 119 | 16 | 02 | 0 | 231 |
| LAK | 112 | 111 | 03 | 02 | 1 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:36LAKJoel ArmiaUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 4:29NSHSteven StamkosPPAssists: Ryan O'Reilly, Roman Josi · Slap, 0.17 xG1–1
- P2 13:57LAKScott LaughtonAssists: Jared Wright · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–2
- P3 4:18NSHRoman JosiAssists: Filip Forsberg, Erik Haula · Slap, 0.05 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Trevor Moore stopped
- 2. NSH Ryan O'Reilly stopped
- 3. LAK Adrian Kempe scored
- 4. NSH Filip Forsberg stopped
- 5. LAK Artemi Panarin stopped
- 6. NSH Luke Evangelista stopped
Penalties (2)
- P2 3:09LAKScott Laughton: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:13LAKMikey Anderson: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00O'Reilly won the faceoff against Laferriere
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestStamkos – O'Reilly – Marchessault2:39
xG 0.39–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Jost – Evangelista – Wood8:31
xG 0.38–0.12 (76%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Haula – Marchessault – Forsberg10:16
xG 0.31–0.13 (70%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Forsberg – Evangelista – Wood2:12
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBarron – Wilsby20:11
xG 1.01–0.43 (70%)attempts 19–17goals 0–0
- Josi – Skjei18:41
xG 0.86–0.37 (70%)attempts 23–17goals 1–0
- Perbix – Ufko10:54
xG 0.20–0.74 (21%)attempts 7–15goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestMalott – Helenius – Ward6:24
xG 0.67–0.16 (81%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Armia – Laughton – Wright10:57
xG 0.55–0.35 (61%)attempts 11–11goals 2–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Panarin14:17
xG 0.40–0.50 (44%)attempts 15–13goals 0–1
- Moore – Byfield – Laferriere13:49
xG 0.39–0.71 (35%)attempts 14–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke17:35
xG 0.83–0.70 (54%)attempts 20–21goals 1–0
- Doughty – Anderson21:12
xG 0.53–0.50 (51%)attempts 21–22goals 0–1
- Dumoulin – Ceci14:13
xG 0.82–0.94 (46%)attempts 15–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).