Tue, Apr 7, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Boston Bruins 5, Carolina Hurricanes 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 38 | 19 | 14 | 00 | 521 |
| CAR | 213 | 315 | 012 | 11 | 641 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:40BOSHampus LindholmAssists: Pavel Zacha, Viktor Arvidsson · Snap, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 10:04CARAndrei SvechnikovAssists: Alexander Nikishin, Sean Walker · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P1 11:38CARK'Andre MillerAssists: Jordan Staal · Snap, 0.01 xG1–2
- P1 13:36BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: David Pastrnak, Elias Lindholm · Snap, 0.12 xG2–2
- P1 17:25BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: David Pastrnak, Nikita Zadorov · Wrist, 0.25 xG3–2
- P2 5:17CARLogan StankovenPPAssists: Taylor Hall, Jackson Blake · Slap, 0.16 xG3–3
- P2 7:20CARWilliam CarrierAssists: Jordan Martinook · Snap, 0.13 xG3–4
- P2 8:33CARTaylor HallAssists: Jackson Blake, Sean Walker · Snap, 0.09 xG3–5
- P2 18:50BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: Nikita Zadorov, Charlie McAvoy · Tip-in, 0.11 xG4–5
- P3 12:33BOSPavel ZachaAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Viktor Arvidsson · Snap, 0.20 xG5–5
- OT 1:13CARJaccob SlavinGWGAssists: Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov · Snap, 0.21 xG5–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 17:25CARTaylor Hall: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P1 0:00BOSMark Kastelic: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 4:23BOSNikita Zadorov: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 19:22BOSCharlie McAvoy: Cross checking2 min
- P3 4:57BOSDavid Pastrnak: High sticking2 min
- P3 16:44CARJordan Martinook: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zacha won the faceoff against Aho
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Jeannot – Khusnutdinov – Minten2:09
xG 0.14–0.14 (51%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic4:24
xG 0.13–0.26 (34%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Pastrnak – Geekie14:10
xG 0.70–1.14 (38%)attempts 10–14goals 3–2
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt11:50
xG 0.50–1.08 (32%)attempts 11–18goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- Lindholm – McAvoy3:11
xG 0.20–0.16 (55%)attempts 1–1goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Lohrei9:44
xG 0.34–0.33 (51%)attempts 6–9goals 2–0
- McAvoy – Lohrei2:12
xG 0.14–0.17 (45%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- bestAho – Svechnikov – Jarvis10:47
xG 1.09–0.63 (63%)attempts 19–12goals 1–2
- Hall – Stankoven – Blake14:40
xG 0.94–0.51 (65%)attempts 16–13goals 1–1
- Staal – Martinook – Ehlers11:40
xG 0.78–0.46 (63%)attempts 9–7goals 1–2
- Deslauriers – Jankowski – Carrier5:44
xG 0.30–0.12 (71%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWalker – Nikishin13:50
xG 1.31–0.38 (78%)attempts 21–11goals 2–0
- Slavin – Miller2:00
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Chatfield – Miller5:22
xG 0.56–0.27 (67%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CAR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CAR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CAR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).