Tue, Apr 7, 2026·Honda Center, Anaheim
Nashville Predators 5, Anaheim Ducks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 05 | 314 | 26 | 525 |
| ANA | 012 | 014 | 017 | 043 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 7:07NSHErik HaulaGWGAssists: Joakim Kemell, Adam Wilsby · Snap, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 11:26NSHFilip ForsbergPPAssists: Roman Josi, Ryan O'Reilly · Snap, 0.08 xG2–0
- P2 19:00NSHBrady SkjeiSHAssists: Nick Perbix, Ryan O'Reilly · Snap, 0.16 xG3–0
- P3 9:51NSHZachary L'HeureuxAssists: Joakim Kemell, Erik Haula · Snap, 0.23 xG4–0
- P3 15:07NSHFedor SvechkovAssists: Tyson Jost, Ryan Ufko · Snap, 0.26 xG5–0
Penalties (10)
- P1 12:48NSHRyan Ufko: Holding2 min
- P1 15:41NSHFilip Forsberg: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:01ANAChris Kreider: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 15:44NSHReid Schaefer: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:22NSHTyson Jost: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:44ANAJeffrey Viel: Elbowing2 min
- P2 19:44ANAJeffrey Viel: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:59ANABeckett Sennecke: Cross checking2 min
- P3 15:24NSHJustus Annunen: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:59NSHBrady Skjei: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stamkos won the faceoff against Carlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestHaula – L'Heureux – Kemell4:24
xG 0.44–0.22 (66%)attempts 3–11goals 2–0
- Marchessault – Forsberg – Wood8:03
xG 0.77–0.72 (52%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Stamkos – O'Reilly – Jost5:34
xG 0.39–0.54 (42%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Evangelista – Svechkov – Schaefer2:08
xG 0.07–0.30 (18%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Perbix – Ufko9:11
xG 0.76–0.80 (48%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
- Skjei – Perbix4:05
xG 0.06–0.30 (16%)attempts 1–11goals 0–0
- Josi – Skjei8:32
xG 0.47–0.77 (38%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Terry – Poehling6:04
xG 1.08–0.47 (70%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Killorn – Granlund – Sennecke3:07
xG 0.52–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Killorn – Viel – McTavish5:09
xG 0.47–0.12 (79%)attempts 9–2goals 0–1
- Terry – Viel – Carlsson2:49
xG 0.31–0.16 (66%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – LaCombe10:37
xG 0.85–0.38 (69%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Helleson – Hinds6:43
xG 0.71–0.29 (71%)attempts 16–3goals 0–0
- Carlson – Mintyukov11:20
xG 0.91–1.21 (43%)attempts 16–17goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).