Thu, Apr 9, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, New Jersey Devils 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 115 | 28 | 27 | 530 |
| NJD | 010 | 26 | 05 | 221 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:53PITBryan RustAssists: Egor Chinakhov, Kris Letang · Snap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 9:51NJDPaul CotterAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Brian Halonen · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 11:43PITTommy NovakAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 11:52PITEgor ChinakhovGWGAssists: Ryan Shea, Sidney Crosby · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–1
- P2 15:07NJDJack HughesAssists: Jonas Siegenthaler, Connor Brown · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 6:50PITEvgeni MalkinAssists: Sidney Crosby, Egor Chinakhov · Tip-in, 0.06 xG4–2
- P3 17:00PITErik KarlssonENAssists: Parker Wotherspoon, Noel Acciari · Wrist, 0.27 xG5–2
Penalties (2)
- P1 5:55PITAnthony Mantha: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 9:02NJDSimon Nemec: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestMalkin – Rakell – Novak13:01
xG 1.33–0.13 (91%)attempts 19–8goals 1–0
- Crosby – Rust – Chinakhov11:23
xG 0.61–0.45 (58%)attempts 15–12goals 2–1
- Acciari – Soderblom – Hayes9:55
xG 0.08–0.16 (33%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Mantha – Brazeau – Kindel11:03
xG 0.10–0.49 (17%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestClifton – Shea13:42
xG 1.29–0.46 (74%)attempts 18–10goals 2–0
- Letang – Girard17:01
xG 0.83–0.52 (61%)attempts 17–17goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Wotherspoon17:17
xG 0.52–0.63 (45%)attempts 13–12goals 1–2
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Hischier – Mercer13:18
xG 0.40–0.25 (61%)attempts 10–8goals 0–2
- Cotter – McLaughlin – Halonen7:39
xG 0.20–0.33 (38%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
- Brown – Bratt – Hughes13:30
xG 0.57–1.07 (35%)attempts 11–17goals 1–1
- Bjugstad – Glass – Hameenaho11:01
xG 0.27–0.84 (24%)attempts 8–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Siegenthaler14:42
xG 0.89–0.55 (62%)attempts 15–9goals 2–1
- Dillon – Nemec18:59
xG 0.31–0.87 (26%)attempts 13–20goals 0–1
- Cholowski – Kovacevic16:27
xG 0.32–1.14 (22%)attempts 7–22goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).