Sat, Apr 11, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 4, San Jose Sharks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 010 | 214 | 114 | 03 | 2 | 441 |
| SJS | 112 | 110 | 18 | 02 | 1 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:19SJSIgor ChernyshovAssists: Macklin Celebrini · Backhand, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 5:56VANMarco RossiAssists: Victor Mancini · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 9:02SJSTyler ToffoliAssists: Sam Dickinson, Michael Misa · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–2
- P2 17:37VANJake DeBruskPPAssists: Filip Hronek, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–2
- P3 12:44SJSIgor ChernyshovAssists: Macklin Celebrini, Dmitry Orlov · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 17:00VANTeddy BluegerPPAssists: Linus Karlsson · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. SJS Igor Chernyshov stopped
- 2. VAN Filip Hronek stopped
- 3. SJS Macklin Celebrini scored
- 4. VAN Jake DeBrusk scored
- 5. SJS Collin Graf stopped
- 6. VAN Liam Ohgren stopped
- 7. SJS Will Smith stopped
- 8. VAN Brock Boeser stopped
- 9. SJS Adam Gaudette stopped
- 10. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 11. SJS William Eklund stopped
- 12. VAN Linus Karlsson scored
Penalties (6)
- P2 3:28VANZeev Buium: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:44SJSDmitry Orlov: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 17:37SJSWill Smith: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P3 15:01SJSVincent Desharnais: Hooking2 min · PPG
- OT 2:43VANJake DeBrusk: Tripping2 min
- OT 4:32SJSWilliam Eklund: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Celebrini won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBlueger – DeBrusk – Hoglander8:37
xG 0.81–0.36 (69%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Karlsson – O'Connor – Rossi9:12
xG 0.40–0.22 (65%)attempts 8–8goals 1–1
- Räty – Sasson – Mueller8:58
xG 0.20–0.28 (42%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Boeser – Pettersson – Ohgren9:05
xG 0.06–0.77 (7%)attempts 7–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestPettersson – Mancini9:57
xG 0.76–0.21 (78%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Hronek – Pettersson2:45
xG 0.16–0.00 (98%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Mancini – Buium2:04
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Celebrini – Chernyshov15:47
xG 1.15–0.52 (69%)attempts 19–17goals 2–0
- Wennberg – Sherwood – Eklund12:24
xG 0.54–0.28 (66%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Graf – Misa8:56
xG 0.62–0.46 (57%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Goodrow – Gaudette – Ostapchuk8:33
xG 0.00–0.32 (1%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFerraro – Mukhamadullin15:57
xG 0.83–0.31 (73%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Orlov – Desharnais12:55
xG 0.50–0.28 (64%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Leddy – Orlov2:35
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).