Mon, Apr 13, 2026·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Minnesota Wild 3, St. Louis Blues 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 214 | 18 | 09 | 331 |
| STL | 17 | 37 | 28 | 622 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:22STLColton ParaykoAssists: Robert Thomas, Jimmy Snuggerud · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 14:46MINNick FolignoAssists: Yakov Trenin, Daemon Hunt · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P1 19:13MINDanila YurovPPAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Marcus Johansson · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 1:59MINMichael McCarronSHAssists: Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–1
- P2 4:04STLOtto StenbergAssists: Tyler Tucker, Alexey Toropchenko · Snap, 0.11 xG3–2
- P2 4:31STLPavel BuchnevichAssists: Jordan Kyrou, Cam Fowler · Snap, 0.24 xG3–3
- P2 16:41STLTheo LindsteinGWGAssists: Jonathan Drouin, Dalibor Dvorsky · Backhand, 0.09 xG3–4
- P3 3:05STLJake NeighboursUnassisted · Snap, 0.18 xG3–5
- P3 16:56STLJimmy SnuggerudENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.28 xG3–6
Penalties (11)
- P1 5:51MINRobby Fabbri: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:37STLDalibor Dvorsky: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 18:00STLColton Parayko: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P1 18:00STLColton Parayko: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:00MINYakov Trenin: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:30MINHunter Haight: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:45MINNico Sturm: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:54STLJimmy Snuggerud: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 0:54STLJake Neighbours: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:17MINDanila Yurov: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:06STLDylan Holloway: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suter won the faceoff against Yurov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – McCarron – Sturm6:19
xG 0.51–0.14 (78%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Fabbri – Aube-Kubel – Jones7:57
xG 0.22–0.21 (51%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Johansson – Brink – Haight7:06
xG 0.06–0.27 (19%)attempts 3–7goals 0–2
- Tarasenko – Trenin – Yurov6:33
xG 0.19–0.77 (20%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPetry – Middleton10:27
xG 0.82–0.52 (61%)attempts 11–9goals 0–2
- Hunt – Gustafsson Nyberg2:42
xG 0.37–0.18 (67%)attempts 3–2goals 1–1
- Petry – Hunt2:21
xG 0.19–0.03 (84%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- Thomas – Holloway – Snuggerud11:22
xG 0.25–0.26 (49%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Buchnevich – Kyrou – Suter8:42
xG 0.32–0.45 (42%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
- Toropchenko – Finley – Stenberg4:59
xG 0.11–0.25 (30%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Drouin – Neighbours – Dvorsky8:56
xG 0.33–0.49 (40%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestParayko – Lindstein11:16
xG 0.58–0.46 (56%)attempts 11–9goals 2–0
- Fowler – Tucker12:34
xG 0.71–0.80 (47%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
- Broberg – Mailloux13:31
xG 0.18–0.44 (29%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).