Mon, Apr 13, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Los Angeles Kings 5, Seattle Kraken 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 29 | 112 | 29 | 530 |
| SEA | 08 | 014 | 311 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:43LAKQuinton ByfieldUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 13:19LAKQuinton ByfieldUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–0
- P2 7:13LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Alex Laferriere · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
- P3 1:53SEAAdam LarssonAssists: Matty Beniers, Jaden Schwartz · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–1
- P3 8:08SEAFrederick GaudreauAssists: Kaapo Kakko · Snap, 0.10 xG3–2
- P3 12:29LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Trevor Moore · Snap, 0.08 xG4–2
- P3 17:33SEABobby McMannAssists: Matty Beniers, Chandler Stephenson · Snap, 0.18 xG4–3
- P3 19:58LAKAlex LaferriereENAssists: Joel Edmundson · Backhand, 0.78 xG5–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 9:58SEAJacob Melanson: Roughing2 min
- P1 9:58LAKSamuel Helenius: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:03LAKSamuel Helenius: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:03SEAJacob Melanson: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:52SEAEeli Tolvanen: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:23SEAVince Dunn: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Byfield won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestMoore – Byfield – Laferriere14:31
xG 1.10–0.55 (67%)attempts 19–17goals 3–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Panarin11:00
xG 0.84–0.37 (69%)attempts 12–11goals 1–1
- Armia – Laughton – Wright11:14
xG 0.55–0.41 (57%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Joseph – Helenius – Ward5:36
xG 0.11–0.09 (53%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke14:09
xG 0.85–0.49 (64%)attempts 13–18goals 1–2
- Dumoulin – Ceci16:52
xG 0.78–0.62 (56%)attempts 16–20goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson18:30
xG 1.03–1.15 (47%)attempts 21–24goals 3–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- Gaudreau – Kakko – Winterton6:53
xG 0.25–0.22 (53%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
- Schwartz – Stephenson – Tolvanen11:26
xG 0.60–0.57 (51%)attempts 15–7goals 0–1
- Melanson – Fisker Molgaard – Catton2:23
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Kakko – Catton6:41
xG 0.33–0.41 (44%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMontour – Evans3:27
xG 0.34–0.22 (61%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Montour – Lindgren13:54
xG 0.56–0.53 (52%)attempts 17–13goals 0–3
- Oleksiak – Evans15:32
xG 0.44–0.89 (33%)attempts 14–19goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).