Wed, Apr 15, 2026·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 2, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 17 | 16 | 04 | 217 |
| CHI | 03 | 110 | 411 | 524 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:09SJSMario FerraroAssists: Kiefer Sherwood · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 5:17SJSMichael MisaPPAssists: Dmitry Orlov, Kiefer Sherwood · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 19:30CHISam RinzelAssists: Ryan Donato · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
- P3 3:51CHILouis CrevierAssists: Connor Bedard · Snap, 0.13 xG2–2
- P3 8:35CHIRyan GreeneGWGAssists: Ethan Del Mastro, Andre Burakovsky · Snap, 0.27 xG2–3
- P3 10:32CHILouis CrevierAssists: Tyler Bertuzzi · Slap, 0.02 xG2–4
- P3 14:44CHINick LardisAssists: Connor Bedard, Wyatt Kaiser · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 9:31SJSIgor Chernyshov: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:22SJSDmitry Orlov: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P1 18:49CHIConnor Bedard: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:46CHIConnor Bedard: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 8:00CHIRyan Donato: Kneeing2 min
- P2 10:14SJSLuca Cagnoni: Holding2 min
- P2 17:16SJSShakir Mukhamadullin: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:59CHIConnor Bedard: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Celebrini won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestGoodrow – Gaudette – Ostapchuk5:45
xG 0.20–0.14 (59%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Sherwood – Eklund9:20
xG 0.19–0.29 (40%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Toffoli – Graf – Misa8:32
xG 0.23–0.41 (36%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Smith – Celebrini – Chernyshov10:29
xG 0.26–0.47 (36%)attempts 8–12goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestOrlov – Mukhamadullin11:43
xG 0.51–0.26 (66%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Desharnais – Dickinson2:04
xG 0.01–0.09 (9%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Desharnais – Cagnoni12:22
xG 0.21–0.53 (29%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Donato – Greene10:06
xG 0.82–0.03 (97%)attempts 11–4goals 2–0
- Nazar – Bedard – Lardis9:30
xG 0.48–0.11 (81%)attempts 14–6goals 1–1
- Teravainen – Lafferty – Slaggert6:29
xG 0.03–0.12 (21%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Mikheyev – Frondell9:03
xG 0.27–0.48 (36%)attempts 5–14goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKaiser – Rinzel11:11
xG 0.66–0.02 (98%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Del Mastro – Korchinski8:48
xG 0.59–0.17 (77%)attempts 6–5goals 1–1
- Vlasic – Crevier12:34
xG 0.55–0.36 (60%)attempts 14–13goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).