Sat, Oct 10, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Vancouver Canucks 1, New Jersey Devils 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 18 | 09 | 04 | 121 |
| NJD | 210 | 215 | 012 | 437 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:27VANLinus KarlssonPPAssists: Brock Boeser, Jake DeBrusk · Snap, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 8:03NJDNico HischierPPAssists: Arseny Gritsyuk, Luke Hughes · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–1
- P1 16:24NJDJesper BoqvistGWGAssists: Amadeus Lombardi · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–2
- P2 4:36NJDJesper BrattPPAssists: Nico Hischier, Jack Hughes · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–3
- P2 19:50NJDNico HischierPPAssists: Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.17 xG1–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 4:32NJDAnthony Mantha: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 7:02VANJonathan Lekkerimäki: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:17VANBrock Boeser: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 18:07VANDrew O'Connor: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 19:50NJDEvan Rodrigues: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 2:01VANBrock Boeser: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Glass won the faceoff against O'Connor
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDeBrusk – Pettersson – Lekkerimäki12:04
xG 0.67–0.46 (59%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Boeser – O'Connor – Ohgren12:06
xG 0.31–0.56 (36%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Cotter – Rossi11:28
xG 0.18–0.58 (24%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Gallagher – Bains – Sasson7:45
xG 0.14–0.84 (14%)attempts 6–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Pettersson12:01
xG 0.45–0.21 (69%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Willander12:53
xG 0.71–0.76 (48%)attempts 12–17goals 0–0
- Schenn – Buium3:23
xG 0.17–0.23 (43%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMantha – Bratt – Hughes7:58
xG 0.48–0.11 (82%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Meier – Hischier – Evangelista10:30
xG 0.75–0.48 (61%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Glass – Boqvist – Lombardi11:00
xG 0.62–0.39 (61%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Rodrigues – Gritsyuk – Mercer10:16
xG 0.40–0.50 (44%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Siegenthaler15:21
xG 0.71–0.35 (67%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Dillon – Chisholm12:24
xG 0.62–0.37 (63%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Pesce – Hughes17:43
xG 0.82–1.01 (45%)attempts 18–19goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).