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Ice Lab

Left wing · #12

Alexei Ponikarovsky

Toronto Maple Leafs Pittsburgh Penguins Los Angeles Kings Carolina Hurricanes New Jersey Devils Winnipeg Jets(traded during the season)
Age
46
Shoots
Left
Height
193 cm
Weight
102 kg
Born
Kiev, UKR
Draft
1998, round 4, #87 (TOR)

Career · 2009–10 to 2012–13

Games
262
Goals
44
Points
107
TOI per game
14:30
xGF% (5v5)
54.4%
Goals above expected
−8.3

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10TOR61192241+516:5014712.9%815.5–
2009–10PIT16279−615:05375.4%44.0–
2009–10All teams77212950−116:2818411.4%1219.5–
2010–11LAK6151015+112:36945.3%38.253.7%
2011–12CAR497815−1214:52987.1%812.449.5%
2011–12NJD3371118+914:345812.1%06.961.8%
2011–12All teams82141933−314:451569.0%819.354.0%
2012–13WPG12202−211:521020.0%01.247.1%
2012–13NJD30257+113:40414.9%04.260.5%
2012–13All teams42459−113:10517.8%05.456.6%
Total6 teams2624463107−414:304859.1%2352.354.4%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.811.250100150200250
10m12m14m16m18m20m50100150200250Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2009–10 to 2012–13 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

59th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

3rd line
  • Goals /600.7049th pct
  • Assists /601.0058th pct
  • ixG /600.8371st pct
  • Goals above expected−8.311th pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)54.4%88th pct
  • CF% (5v5)54.4%91st pct
  • Relative xGF%+4.285th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.2715th pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game14:3053rd pct
  • PP time share16.7%47th pct
  • Offensive zone starts59.1%56th pct
  • Quality of competition24.2%51st pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Trent HunterNYI0.75
  2. Benoit PouliotMIN/MTL/BOS/TBL0.74
  3. Benn FerrieroSJS0.70
  4. Jeff TambelliniNYI/VAN0.69
  5. Rostislav OleszFLA0.68
  6. Gabriel LandeskogCOL0.67

Faceoffs

How often Ponikarovsky wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2012–13, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 727+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

29.5%

18–43 · below the 727 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

30.6%

Opponents won 51.1% of their draws; an average centre would have won 48.9% against them.

Wins above average

−12

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.3

61 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

25%4 · 0.025%12 · −9.110%10 · 0.050%6 · 0.025%4 · +8.70%5 · –50%4 · +0.550%12 · −0.625%4 · +6.0Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone17.4% 4–19
  • Neutral zone30.4% 7–16
  • Defensive zone46.7% 7–8

By strength

  • Even strength30.4% 14–32
  • Power play50.0% 3–3
  • Shorthanded11.1% 1–8

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +17 after a win, +5 after a loss. Each win was worth -1.5 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–103729.7%31.4%
2010–11520.0%20.6%
2011–121233.3%33.7%
2012–13728.6%28.3%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−8.3 goals above expected

010203040506050100150200250Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−200+20+40+60+80