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Ice Lab

Left wing · #51

Dany Heatley

Age
45
Shoots
Left
Height
191 cm
Weight
96 kg
Born
Freiburg, DEU
Draft
2000, round 1, #2 (ATL)

Career · 2009–10 to 2014–15

Games
362
Goals
112
Points
248
TOI per game
18:49
xGF% (5v5)
49.6%
Goals above expected
−12.8

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10SJS82394382+1420:1428013.9%3037.2–
2010–11SJS80263864+819:3921712.0%3031.152.9%
2011–12MIN82242953+220:5723810.1%1930.151.1%
2012–13MIN36111021−1218:328313.3%711.448.7%
2013–14MIN76121628−1814:4911010.9%1014.243.5%
2014–15ANA6000−312:0880.0%00.733.9%
Total3 teams362112136248−918:4993612.0%96124.849.6%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.511.550100150200250300350
10m12m14m16m18m20m22m50100150200250300350Game

Player card

How 2009–10 to 2014–15 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

65th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.9987th pct
  • Assists /601.2075th pct
  • ixG /601.1096th pct
  • Goals above expected−12.86th pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)49.6%52nd pct
  • CF% (5v5)47.9%35th pct
  • Relative xGF%−2.334th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.1029th pct

Usage

1st line
  • TOI per game18:4993rd pct
  • PP time share54.3%92nd pct
  • Offensive zone starts65.4%80th pct
  • Quality of competition25.4%91st pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Heatley wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2014–15, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1134+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

45.9%

78–92 · below the 1134 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

46.5%

Opponents won 50.7% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.3% against them.

Wins above average

−6

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.4

170 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

36%11 · +2.738%29 · +0.949%57 · −1.133%3 · 0.00%9 · –38%8 · +0.160%10 · +1.758%26 · −4.759%17 · −1.4Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone46.5% 40–46
  • Neutral zone34.1% 14–27
  • Defensive zone55.8% 24–19

By strength

  • Even strength46.0% 58–68
  • Power play41.7% 15–21
  • Shorthanded62.5% 5–3

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +8 after a win, −8 after a loss. Each win was worth -0.9 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–103540.0%40.2%
2010–112045.0%46.0%
2011–126753.7%53.6%
2012–133138.7%40.1%
2013–141741.2%44.2%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−12.8 goals above expected

05010050100150200250300350Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40+60+80+100+120