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Ice Lab

Right wing · #47

Leo Komarov

Toronto Maple Leafs New York Islanders(traded during the season)
Age
39
Shoots
Left
Height
180 cm
Weight
93 kg
Born
Narva, EST
Draft
2006, round 6, #180 (TOR)

Career · 9 seasons

Games
491
Goals
63
Points
170
TOI per game
15:09
xGF% (5v5)
48.4%
Goals above expected
−8.6
ShowAll teamsToronto Maple LeafsNew York Islanders

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2012–13TOR42459−113:56517.8%05.149.4%
After a break: 2014–15TOR6281826014:42849.5%15.846.3%
2015–16TOR67191736−1217:5013014.6%718.350.4%
2016–17TOR82141832+617:0411412.3%1013.549.9%
2017–18TOR7471219015:471146.1%311.946.2%
2018–19NYI8262026+1813:53787.7%09.547.2%
2019–20NYI4841014+212:36468.7%04.844.7%
2020–21NYI33178+712:50273.7%02.855.9%
2021–22NYI1000010:500–00.042.7%
Total2 teams49163107170+2015:096449.8%2171.648.4%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.51100200300400
10m12m14m16m18m20m100200300400Game

Player card

Model-based

How 9 seasons compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

4th line

35th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.5132nd pct
  • Assists /600.8651st pct
  • ixG /600.5828th pct
  • Goals above expected−8.611th pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)48.4%44th pct
  • CF% (5v5)47.4%34th pct
  • Relative xGF%−1.444th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.0243rd pct

Usage

2nd line
  • TOI per game15:0970th pct
  • PP time share16.6%48th pct
  • Offensive zone starts41.7%20th pct
  • Quality of competition24.5%76th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Marcus FolignoBUF/MIN0.89
  2. Cal ClutterbuckNYI0.86
  3. Adam LowryWPG0.84
  4. Carter RowneyPIT/ANA0.84
  5. Jujhar KhairaEDM0.83
  6. Reese Johnson0.82

Faceoffs

How often Komarov wins the draw over 9 seasons, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1644+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

47.3%

534–594 · below the 1644 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

48.0%

Opponents won 50.7% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.3% against them.

Wins above average

−22

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

2.9

1,128 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

44%95 · +0.345%206 · +2.244%138 · +1.957%51 · +0.561%23 · −0.165%52 · +0.148%40 · +1.551%331 · +1.438%192 · +3.7Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone44.8% 154–190
  • Neutral zone52.9% 138–123
  • Defensive zone46.3% 242–281

By strength

  • Even strength48.6% 338–357
  • Power play37.5% 6–10
  • Shorthanded45.6% 190–227

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +7 after a win, −24 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.8 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2012–135750.9%50.7%
2014–1519249.5%49.7%
2015–1612748.8%50.1%
2016–1720245.0%45.6%
2017–1821252.8%54.0%
2018–1918445.7%45.5%
2019–208639.5%40.1%
2020–216738.8%41.7%
2021–221100.0%95.0%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−8.6 goals above expected

020406080100200300400Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−60−40−200+20+40+60+80+100+120

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed33.1 km/h7th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph13rd pct
  • Hardest shot105.2 km/h5th pct
  • Distance skated3 km4th pct
  • Offensive-zone time30.9%0th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

33.1 km/h0th pct

2021–22 only

3234363821–222021–22: 33.1 km/h, 0th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

5.554th pct

2021–22 only

24681021–222021–22: 5.5, 54th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)

Distance skated per 60

16.9 km98th pct

2021–22 only

141516171821–222021–22: 16.9 km, 98th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)

Hardest shot

105.2 km/h0th pct

2021–22 only

8010012014016021–222021–22: 105.2 km/h, 0th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)

Offensive-zone time

30.9%0th pct

2021–22 only

25%30%35%40%45%50%21–222021–22: 30.9%, 0th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)