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Ice Lab

Left wing · #41

Paul Byron

Buffalo Sabres Calgary Flames Montréal Canadiens(traded during the season)
Age
37
Shoots
Left
Height
175 cm
Weight
74 kg
Born
Ottawa, CAN
Draft
2007, round 6, #179 (BUF)

Career · 2010–11 to 2021–22

Games
521
Goals
98
Points
208
TOI per game
14:14
xGF% (5v5)
50.0%
Goals above expected
+14.9
ShowAll teamsBuffalo SabresCalgary FlamesMontréal Canadiens

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2010–11BUF8112010:57520.0%00.658.7%
2011–12CGY22325+310:141323.1%01.948.6%
2012–13CGY4011−210:2710.0%00.129.5%
2013–14CGY4771421+614:274615.2%36.348.7%
2014–15CGY5761319−214:28629.7%18.850.3%
2015–16MTL6211718−913:465022.0%06.045.6%
2016–17MTL81222143+2115:049622.9%413.855.1%
2017–18MTL82201535−416:0811517.4%422.151.2%
2018–19MTL56151631+1614:349416.0%111.253.8%
2019–20MTL294610+514:202913.8%03.951.7%
2020–21MTL4651116+512:514411.4%04.844.6%
2021–22MTL27437−812:363312.1%03.638.2%
Total3 teams52198110208+3114:1458816.7%1383.150.0%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.81100200300400500
8m10m12m14m16m18m100200300400500Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2010–11 to 2021–22 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

76th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.7970th pct
  • Assists /600.8955th pct
  • ixG /600.6748th pct
  • Goals above expected+14.992nd pct

Play-driving

2nd line
  • xGF% (5v5)50.0%62nd pct
  • CF% (5v5)50.4%66th pct
  • Relative xGF%−0.553rd pct
  • Penalty diff /600.4587th pct

Usage

2nd line
  • TOI per game14:1462nd pct
  • PP time share11.4%42nd pct
  • Offensive zone starts45.8%26th pct
  • Quality of competition24.5%73rd pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Jesper FastNYR/CAR0.83
  2. Eetu LuostarinenFLA0.78
  3. Mathieu JosephTBL/OTT0.78
  4. Ivan BarbashevSTL0.73
  5. Nikolay KuleminTOR/NYI0.72
  6. Jason DickinsonDAL0.71

Faceoffs

How often Byron wins the draw over 2010–11 to 2021–22, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 2254+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

38.8%

195–308 · below the 2254 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

39.0%

Opponents won 50.2% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.8% against them.

Wins above average

−55

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

3.0

503 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

45%84 · +1.744%100 · +2.433%70 · +1.843%30 · +4.235%23 · −4.939%36 · +2.818%17 · +3.838%86 · +1.333%57 · +0.5Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone39.4% 67–103
  • Neutral zone40.0% 76–114
  • Defensive zone36.4% 52–91

By strength

  • Even strength40.6% 162–237
  • Power play55.0% 11–9
  • Shorthanded26.5% 22–61

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +10 after a win, −18 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.8 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2010–117140.8%40.6%
2011–122236.4%38.3%
2012–131741.2%40.0%
2013–143221.9%23.0%
2014–159735.1%34.7%
2015–16560.0%60.8%
2016–171566.7%66.0%
2017–1810837.0%37.8%
2018–193534.3%34.2%
2019–20616.7%19.6%
2020–212642.3%43.5%
2021–226947.8%47.5%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+14.9 goals above expected

020406080100100200300400500Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100+150

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed36.0 km/h60th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph8166th pct
  • Hardest shot126.1 km/h17th pct
  • Distance skated93 km34th pct
  • Offensive-zone time36.7%1st pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.0 km/h47th pct

2021–22 only

3535.53636.53721–222021–22: 36.0 km/h, 47th percentile (27 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

14.396th pct

2021–22 only

0510152021–222021–22: 14.3, 96th percentile (27 games)

Distance skated per 60

16.3 km89th pct

2021–22 only

14.51515.51616.521–222021–22: 16.3 km, 89th percentile (27 games)

Hardest shot

126.1 km/h3rd pct

2021–22 only

12013014015016021–222021–22: 126.1 km/h, 3rd percentile (27 games)

Offensive-zone time

36.7%2nd pct

2021–22 only

34%36%38%40%42%44%46%21–222021–22: 36.7%, 2nd percentile (27 games)