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Ice Lab

Centre · #53

Matthew Peca

Tampa Bay Lightning Montréal Canadiens Ottawa Senators St. Louis Blues(traded during the season)
Age
33
Shoots
Left
Height
178 cm
Weight
82 kg
Born
Petawawa, CAN
Draft
2011, round 7, #201 (TBL)

Career · 2016–17 to 2021–22

Games
83
Goals
6
Points
21
TOI per game
10:51
xGF% (5v5)
43.8%
Goals above expected
−0.5
ShowAll teamsTampa Bay LightningMontréal CanadiensOttawa SenatorsSt. Louis Blues

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2016–17TBL10112−311:27911.1%00.839.5%
2017–18TBL10235+613:401711.8%01.841.6%
2018–19MTL393710−1410:31358.6%02.141.0%
2019–20MTL5000−29:0640.0%00.441.9%
2019–20OTT9022−211:1130.0%00.861.3%
2019–20All teams14022−410:2770.0%01.254.3%
2020–21OTT5011+18:5330.0%00.438.3%
2021–22STL5011−19:3830.0%00.252.2%
Total4 teams8361521−1510:51748.1%06.543.8%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.81020304050607080
9m10m11m12m13m14m1020304050607080Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2016–17 to 2021–22 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

4th line

20th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.4016th pct
  • Assists /601.0063rd pct
  • ixG /600.436th pct
  • Goals above expected−0.555th pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)43.8%12th pct
  • CF% (5v5)47.4%31st pct
  • Relative xGF%−9.32nd pct
  • Penalty diff /600.8097th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game10:5120th pct
  • PP time share3.1%24th pct
  • Offensive zone starts45.2%26th pct
  • Quality of competition22.9%12th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Stephen Gionta0.91
  2. Tanner KeroDAL0.88
  3. Jansen HarkinsWPG0.88
  4. Christoffer EhnDET0.84
  5. Brett SeneyNJD0.83
  6. Josh Jooris0.82

Faceoffs

How often Peca wins the draw over 2016–17 to 2021–22, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1117+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

50.2%

238–236 · below the 1117 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

50.2%

Opponents won 50.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.0% against them.

Wins above average

+1

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

6.9

474 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

49%101 · +0.348%83 · +0.134%53 · +0.746%13 · +0.965%17 · +0.458%19 · +1.648%23 · −1.960%102 · +1.749%63 · +2.4Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone42.6% 58–78
  • Neutral zone50.9% 88–85
  • Defensive zone55.8% 92–73

By strength

  • Even strength51.5% 218–205
  • Power play12.5% 1–7
  • Shorthanded44.2% 19–24

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +8 after a win, −11 after a loss. Each win was worth 0.7 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2016–177244.4%44.3%
2017–1813756.9%57.5%
2018–1916947.3%47.4%
2019–207954.4%53.6%
2020–2150.0%-0.1%
2021–221241.7%40.6%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−0.5 goals above expected

02461020304050607080Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40+60+80

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed32.6 km/h4th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph27th pct
  • Hardest shot120.0 km/h10th pct
  • Distance skated13 km12th pct
  • Offensive-zone time45.1%86th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

32.6 km/h0th pct

2021–22 only

3234363821–222021–22: 32.6 km/h, 0th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

2.513th pct

2021–22 only

024681021–222021–22: 2.5, 13th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Distance skated per 60

16.0 km76th pct

2021–22 only

14.51515.51616.521–222021–22: 16.0 km, 76th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Hardest shot

120.0 km/h0th pct

2021–22 only

11012013014015016021–222021–22: 120.0 km/h, 0th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Offensive-zone time

45.1%88th pct

2021–22 only

38%40%42%44%46%21–222021–22: 45.1%, 88th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)