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Ice Lab

Right wing · #11

Stefan Noesen

Anaheim Ducks New Jersey Devils Pittsburgh Penguins San Jose Sharks Toronto Maple Leafs Carolina Hurricanes(traded during the season)
Age
33
Shoots
Right
Height
185 cm
Weight
93 kg
Born
Plano, USA
Draft
2011, round 1, #21 (OTT)

Career · 2014–15 to 2026–27

Games
484
Goals
83
Points
175
TOI per game
12:44
xGF% (5v5)
54.3%
Goals above expected
−22.2

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2014–15ANA100006:540–00.144.0%
2015–16ANA1000010:020–00.019.3%
2016–17ANA12202+26:331216.7%01.652.4%
2016–17NJD32628+412:505111.8%05.151.6%
2016–17All teams448210+611:086312.7%06.851.7%
2017–18NJD72131427+1213:1712710.2%012.253.1%
2018–19NJD41358−1912:44644.7%08.447.7%
2019–20PIT610109:51812.5%00.641.4%
2019–20SJS34628−111:505910.2%16.352.9%
2019–20All teams40729−111:326710.4%16.951.6%
2020–21SJS500009:3250.0%00.348.1%
2020–21TOR1000010:000–00.048.0%
2020–21All teams600009:3750.0%00.348.0%
2021–22CAR2000+114:2040.0%00.957.1%
2022–23CAR78132336+1112:201349.7%1521.463.0%
2023–24CAR81142337+1311:5211112.6%1116.860.0%
2024–25NJD78221941−815:5616513.3%1524.753.7%
2025–26NJD38347−1211:45525.8%36.743.5%
2026–27NJD2000−27:2420.0%00.123.6%
Total6 teams4848392175+112:4479410.5%45105.254.3%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.811.2100200300400
6m8m10m12m14m16m18m100200300400Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2014–15 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

68th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.8169th pct
  • Assists /600.9054th pct
  • ixG /601.0291st pct
  • Goals above expected−22.24th pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)54.3%94th pct
  • CF% (5v5)53.7%94th pct
  • Relative xGF%+1.678th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.2317th pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game12:4445th pct
  • PP time share29.3%66th pct
  • Offensive zone starts61.1%69th pct
  • Quality of competition23.8%45th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Sam BennettCGY/FLA0.91
  2. Craig SmithNSH/BOS/DAL0.87
  3. Marian GaborikLAK0.87
  4. Andrei SvechnikovCAR0.86
  5. Nino NiederreiterMIN/CAR/WPG0.86
  6. Richard PanikCHI/ARI/WSH0.85

Faceoffs

How often Noesen wins the draw over 2014–15 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 2359+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

43.5%

233–303 · below the 2359 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

43.8%

Opponents won 50.3% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.7% against them.

Wins above average

−33

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

2.0

536 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

41%59 · +0.630%74 · +3.646%229 · +2.767%9 · −1.645%44 · +2.043%7 · 0.050%24 · +0.844%16 · +0.946%74 · +0.3Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone41.9% 127–176
  • Neutral zone45.5% 65–78
  • Defensive zone45.6% 41–49

By strength

  • Even strength42.2% 172–236
  • Power play46.5% 53–61
  • Shorthanded57.1% 8–6

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +26 after a win, +3 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.7 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2016–176738.8%39.3%
2017–185536.4%36.6%
2018–195641.1%41.9%
2019–201838.9%39.3%
2020–21425.0%25.4%
2022–2310849.1%49.3%
2023–2410942.2%42.2%
2024–258548.2%48.6%
2025–263348.5%48.7%
2026–2710.0%2.5%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−22.2 goals above expected

020406080100120100200300400Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed31.4 km/h3rd pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph00th pct
  • Hardest shot90.0 km/h9th pct
  • Distance skated4 km7th pct
  • Offensive-zone time40.2%38th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

34.7 km/h10th pct

▲ +0.8 km/h since 2024–25

303234363821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 31.2 km/h, 0th percentile (2 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 34.5 km/h, 8th percentile (78 games)2023–24: 34.3 km/h, 7th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 33.9 km/h, 2nd percentile (78 games)2025–26: 34.7 km/h, 10th percentile (38 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

1.13rd pct

▲ +0.1 since 2024–25

024681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 0.0, 0th percentile (2 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 2.1, 14th percentile (78 games)2023–24: 1.7, 8th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 1.0, 3rd percentile (78 games)2025–26: 1.1, 3rd percentile (38 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.6 km56th pct

▲ +0.4 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 15.3 km, 36th percentile (2 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 14.9 km, 23rd percentile (78 games)2023–24: 15.6 km, 54th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 15.2 km, 25th percentile (78 games)2025–26: 15.6 km, 56th percentile (38 games)

Hardest shot

128.8 km/h8th pct

▼ −11.2 km/h since 2024–25

12013014015016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 126.1 km/h, 3rd percentile (2 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 149.7 km/h, 79th percentile (78 games)2023–24: 148.4 km/h, 78th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 140.0 km/h, 49th percentile (78 games)2025–26: 128.8 km/h, 8th percentile (38 games)

Offensive-zone time

42.9%63rd pct

▼ −1.9 points since 2024–25

35%40%45%50%55%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 47.7%, 99th percentile (2 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 50.9%, 100th percentile (78 games)2023–24: 48.2%, 98th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 44.8%, 86th percentile (78 games)2025–26: 42.9%, 63rd percentile (38 games)