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Ice Lab

Right wing · #90

Justin Bailey

Age
31
Shoots
Right
Height
193 cm
Weight
97 kg
Born
Buffalo, USA
Draft
2013, round 2, #52 (BUF)

Career · 8 seasons

Games
141
Goals
10
Points
23
TOI per game
10:19
xGF% (5v5)
42.3%
Goals above expected
−3.0

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2015–16BUF8000−211:36220.0%02.259.4%
2016–17BUF32224010:38365.6%02.540.5%
2017–18BUF12314−211:171915.8%01.544.0%
2018–19PHI1101105:4450.0%00.335.4%
2019–20VAN200005:2010.0%00.028.2%
2020–21VAN3000−26:4860.0%00.567.8%
2021–22VAN14000−59:05160.0%00.736.3%
After a break: 2023–24SJS595914−1511:17707.1%15.441.1%
Total4 teams141101323−2610:191755.7%113.042.3%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.10.20.30.40.520406080100120140
6m8m10m12m14m20406080100120140Game

Player card

How 8 seasons compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

4th line

20th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

Extra / AHL
  • Goals /600.4119th pct
  • Assists /600.5418th pct
  • ixG /600.5418th pct
  • Goals above expected−3.037th pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)42.3%9th pct
  • CF% (5v5)46.1%22nd pct
  • Relative xGF%−1.938th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.7497th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game10:1914th pct
  • PP time share2.9%22nd pct
  • Offensive zone starts49.5%35th pct
  • Quality of competition23.8%46th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−3.0 goals above expected

051020406080100120140Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−60−40−200+20+40+60+80+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed37.9 km/h97th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph14787th pct
  • Hardest shot144.1 km/h68th pct
  • Distance skated166 km42nd pct
  • Offensive-zone time39.2%16th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

37.9 km/h95th pct

▲ +1.5 km/h since 2021–22

34353637383921–2222–2323–242022–23: no NHL games2021–22: 36.3 km/h, 62nd percentile (14 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 37.9 km/h, 95th percentile (59 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

13.395th pct

▼ −6.1 since 2021–22

051015202521–2222–2323–242022–23: no NHL games2021–22: 19.4, 99th percentile (14 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 13.3, 95th percentile (59 games)

Distance skated per 60

14.9 km18th pct

▼ −0.2 km since 2021–22

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–242022–23: no NHL games2021–22: 15.2 km, 28th percentile (14 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 14.9 km, 18th percentile (59 games)

Hardest shot

144.1 km/h60th pct

▲ +5.4 km/h since 2021–22

13514014515015521–2222–2323–242022–23: no NHL games2021–22: 138.7 km/h, 30th percentile (14 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 144.1 km/h, 60th percentile (59 games)

Offensive-zone time

39.2%19th pct

▲ +4.3 points since 2021–22

30%35%40%45%50%21–2222–2323–242022–23: no NHL games2021–22: 34.9%, 0th percentile (14 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 39.2%, 19th percentile (59 games)