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Ice Lab

Left wing · #28

William Carrier

Buffalo Sabres Vegas Golden Knights Carolina Hurricanes(traded during the season)
Age
31
Shoots
Left
Height
188 cm
Weight
97 kg
Born
LaSalle, CAN
Draft
2013, round 2, #57 (STL)

Career · 2016–17 to 2026–27

Games
372
Goals
53
Points
99
TOI per game
10:42
xGF% (5v5)
56.1%
Goals above expected
−15.6
ShowAll teamsBuffalo SabresVegas Golden KnightsCarolina Hurricanes

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2016–17BUF41538−19:005010.0%04.450.5%
2017–18VGK37123−38:50521.9%05.252.6%
2018–19VGK54819−49:57859.4%09.156.2%
2019–20VGK717121909:52997.1%09.954.1%
2020–21VGK526915010:25659.2%08.454.5%
2021–22VGK6391120+711:371207.5%014.758.0%
2022–23VGK5616925+1512:3511813.6%013.754.7%
2023–24VGK39628+311:10659.2%07.663.0%
2024–25CAR434711011:44488.3%07.556.7%
2025–26CAR7071118+510:45808.8%09.958.5%
2026–27CAR6033−211:3990.0%01.365.5%
Total3 teams5326970139+2010:407918.7%091.756.3%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.8150100150200250300350
8m10m12m14m50100150200250300350Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2016–17 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

65th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

3rd line
  • Goals /600.7359th pct
  • Assists /600.7436th pct
  • ixG /600.9785th pct
  • Goals above expected−22.73rd pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)56.3%98th pct
  • CF% (5v5)55.3%98th pct
  • Relative xGF%+2.787th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.2268th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game10:4019th pct
  • PP time share2.1%18th pct
  • Offensive zone starts56.3%54th pct
  • Quality of competition23.7%36th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Kyle CliffordLAK/STL/TOR0.81
  2. Jeff MalottLAK0.79
  3. Vasily PodkolzinVAN/EDM0.79
  4. Austin WagnerLAK0.78
  5. Ross ColtonTBL/COL0.77
  6. Curtis McKenzieDAL0.77

Faceoffs

How often Carrier wins the draw over 2016–17 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1951+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

44.2%

38–48 · below the 1951 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

44.4%

Opponents won 50.2% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.8% against them.

Wins above average

−5

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.2

86 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

67%6 · −3.044%45 · +3.014%7 · −0.40%3 · –50%2 · 0.033%3 · +2.956%16 · +6.550%4 · −6.7Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone40.4% 21–31
  • Neutral zone42.9% 6–8
  • Defensive zone55.0% 11–9

By strength

  • Even strength45.0% 36–44
  • Power play50.0% 1–1
  • Shorthanded25.0% 1–3

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +21 after a win, −15 after a loss. Each win was worth 2.4 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2016–17250.0%52.4%
2019–201464.3%65.2%
2020–21837.5%36.5%
2021–22850.0%49.2%
2022–23812.5%14.1%
2023–241546.7%45.5%
2024–251250.0%48.4%
2025–261838.9%40.9%
2026–2710.0%5.3%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−15.6 goals above expected

02040608050100150200250300350Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.9 km/h72nd pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph447th pct
  • Hardest shot116.5 km/h33rd pct
  • Distance skated11 km47th pct
  • Offensive-zone time52.6%98th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.4 km/h63rd pct

▲ +0.5 km/h since 2024–25

34353637383921–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 37.8 km/h, 96th percentile (63 games)2022–23: 36.3 km/h, 59th percentile (56 games)2023–24: 37.0 km/h, 84th percentile (39 games)2024–25: 36.0 km/h, 43rd percentile (43 games)2025–26: 36.4 km/h, 63rd percentile (70 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

9.585th pct

▲ +2.2 since 2024–25

246810121421–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 11.1, 90th percentile (63 games)2022–23: 9.9, 86th percentile (56 games)2023–24: 10.3, 88th percentile (39 games)2024–25: 7.3, 68th percentile (43 games)2025–26: 9.5, 85th percentile (70 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.3 km33rd pct

▼ −0.2 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 15.1 km, 23rd percentile (63 games)2022–23: 14.8 km, 18th percentile (56 games)2023–24: 15.4 km, 36th percentile (39 games)2024–25: 15.4 km, 37th percentile (43 games)2025–26: 15.3 km, 33rd percentile (70 games)

Hardest shot

133.5 km/h25th pct

▼ −1.4 km/h since 2024–25

12013014015016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 127.8 km/h, 4th percentile (63 games)2022–23: 130.1 km/h, 7th percentile (56 games)2023–24: 147.5 km/h, 75th percentile (39 games)2024–25: 134.9 km/h, 24th percentile (43 games)2025–26: 133.5 km/h, 25th percentile (70 games)

Offensive-zone time

46.8%97th pct

▼ −0.0 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%48%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 43.9%, 78th percentile (63 games)2022–23: 42.1%, 54th percentile (56 games)2023–24: 42.2%, 55th percentile (39 games)2024–25: 46.8%, 96th percentile (43 games)2025–26: 46.8%, 97th percentile (70 games)