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Ice Lab

Centre · #38

Patrick Brown

Carolina Hurricanes Vegas Golden Knights Philadelphia Flyers Ottawa Senators Boston Bruins(traded during the season)
Age
34
Shoots
Right
Height
185 cm
Weight
98 kg
Born
Bloomfield Hills, USA
Draft
Undrafted

Career · 9 seasons

Games
28
Goals
1
Points
2
TOI per game
10:14
xGF% (5v5)
47.6%
Goals above expected
−1.5

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2014–15CAR7000−48:5340.0%00.348.1%
2015–16CAR7112+412:36812.5%01.354.7%
2016–17CAR14000−69:43120.0%01.042.0%
After a break: 2019–20VGK1101010:04250.0%00.486.6%
2020–21VGK400009:0650.0%00.257.9%
2021–22PHI44459−1612:26517.8%04.738.4%
2022–23PHI43257−611:29444.5%03.145.4%
2022–23OTT18235+411:081612.5%02.246.0%
2022–23All teams614812−211:23606.7%05.345.6%
2023–24BOS11011−38:5070.0%00.436.1%
2024–25BOS15011−210:34110.0%01.228.8%
Total5 teams164101626−2911:091606.3%014.742.7%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.050.10.150.210121416182022242628
9m10m10m11m11m12m12m13m10121416182022242628Game

Player card

Model-based

How 9 seasons compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

Extra / AHL

3rd percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

Extra / AHL
  • Goals /600.3313th pct
  • Assists /600.5217th pct
  • ixG /600.4812th pct
  • Goals above expected−4.726th pct

Play-driving

Extra / AHL
  • xGF% (5v5)42.7%9th pct
  • CF% (5v5)45.4%18th pct
  • Relative xGF%−6.012th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.3312th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game11:0922nd pct
  • PP time share1.7%14th pct
  • Offensive zone starts23.4%2nd pct
  • Quality of competition23.3%23rd pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Matt HendricksEDM0.98
  2. Jujhar Khaira0.98
  3. Sam LaffertyCHI/TOR/BUF0.96
  4. Jacob de la RoseSTL0.95
  5. Maxim Lapierre0.95
  6. Sam CarrickANA0.95

Faceoffs

How often Brown wins the draw over 9 seasons, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1739+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

55.2%

480–390 · below the 1739 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

54.6%

Opponents won 49.5% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.5% against them.

Wins above average

+40

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

6.6

870 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

59%143 · +0.350%34 · +4.058%111 · +1.969%16 · +1.562%26 · −0.356%9 · −3.167%36 · −1.347%75 · +0.353%420 · +2.6Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone55.9% 81–64
  • Neutral zone61.3% 141–89
  • Defensive zone52.1% 258–237

By strength

  • Even strength56.5% 410–316
  • Power play62.5% 5–3
  • Shorthanded47.8% 65–71

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +3 after a win, −27 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.8 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2014–1520.0%-4.2%
2016–171560.0%58.8%
2020–212369.6%69.0%
2021–2241458.5%58.0%
2022–2333952.5%52.0%
2023–243345.5%44.7%
2024–254445.5%44.9%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−1.5 goals above expected

00.511.522.5510152025Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−80−60−40−200+20+40+60+80+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.1 km/h11th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph1925th pct
  • Hardest shot144.8 km/h78th pct
  • Distance skated43 km22nd pct
  • Offensive-zone time38.8%11th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

34.1 km/h3rd pct

▼ −0.1 km/h since 2023–24

33343536373821–2222–2323–2424–252021–22: 36.4 km/h, 66th percentile (44 games)2022–23: 35.3 km/h, 28th percentile (61 games)2023–24: 34.2 km/h, 5th percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 34.1 km/h, 3rd percentile (15 games, too few to rank reliably)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

7.267th pct

▲ +2.2 since 2023–24

24681021–2222–2323–2424–252021–22: 4.9, 47th percentile (44 games)2022–23: 5.4, 54th percentile (61 games)2023–24: 4.9, 49th percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 7.2, 67th percentile (15 games, too few to rank reliably)

Distance skated per 60

16.2 km86th pct

▲ +0.3 km since 2023–24

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–252021–22: 16.0 km, 75th percentile (44 games)2022–23: 16.0 km, 81st percentile (61 games)2023–24: 15.9 km, 74th percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 16.2 km, 86th percentile (15 games, too few to rank reliably)

Hardest shot

144.8 km/h73rd pct

▼ −9.0 km/h since 2023–24

13014015016021–2222–2323–2424–252021–22: 147.0 km/h, 65th percentile (44 games)2022–23: 152.3 km/h, 88th percentile (61 games)2023–24: 153.8 km/h, 91st percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 144.8 km/h, 73rd percentile (15 games, too few to rank reliably)

Offensive-zone time

38.8%12th pct

▲ +2.3 points since 2023–24

34%36%38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–2323–2424–252021–22: 35.8%, 0th percentile (44 games)2022–23: 40.5%, 32nd percentile (61 games)2023–24: 36.5%, 3rd percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 38.8%, 12th percentile (15 games, too few to rank reliably)