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Ice Lab

Centre · #18

Tommy Novak

Age
29
Shoots
Left
Height
185 cm
Weight
85 kg
Born
St. Paul, USA
Draft
2015, round 3, #85 (NSH)

Career · 2021–22 to 2026–27

Games
291
Goals
68
Points
164
TOI per game
13:55
xGF% (5v5)
53.3%
Goals above expected
+13.9

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2021–22NSH27167−411:48254.0%42.154.2%
2022–23NSH51172643+514:399318.3%129.445.0%
2023–24NSH71182745−314:1211315.9%1214.058.7%
2024–25NSH5213922−513:148814.8%59.754.0%
2024–25PIT2000−213:0140.0%00.426.1%
2024–25All teams5413922−713:149214.1%510.051.9%
2025–26PIT82162642+114:1713012.3%716.755.1%
2026–27PIT6325+215:151030.0%21.849.6%
Total2 teams2916896164−613:5546314.7%4254.153.3%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.5150100150200250
10m12m14m16m18m50100150200250Game

Player card

How 2021–22 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

1st line

87th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

1st line
  • Goals /601.0180th pct
  • Assists /601.4285th pct
  • ixG /600.8058th pct
  • Goals above expected+13.991st pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)53.3%85th pct
  • CF% (5v5)52.8%85th pct
  • Relative xGF%+2.986th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.2773rd pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game13:5554th pct
  • PP time share36.5%70th pct
  • Offensive zone starts76.6%98th pct
  • Quality of competition23.9%41st pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Novak wins the draw over 2021–22 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1034+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

42.7%

782–1049 · #169 of 181 regulars, 7th percentile

Against an average centre

42.7%

Opponents won 50.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.0% against them.

Wins above average

−133

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

6.6

1,831 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

36%370 · +1.149%587 · +2.434%196 · +2.852%93 · −0.142%69 · −0.753%91 · −1.542%53 · +2.142%194 · +2.037%178 · +2.1Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone45.1% 353–430
  • Neutral zone41.7% 282–394
  • Defensive zone39.5% 147–225

By strength

  • Even strength42.0% 708–978
  • Power play51.0% 73–70
  • Shorthanded50.0% 1–1

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +24 after a win, −8 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.7 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2021–2214144.0%43.0%
2022–2340244.5%43.9%
2023–2450042.2%42.0%
2024–2522042.7%42.4%
2025–2650442.9%44.1%
2026–276431.3%31.7%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+13.9 goals above expected

02040608050100150200250Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40+60+80

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed33.1 km/h23rd pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph447th pct
  • Hardest shot120.8 km/h44th pct
  • Distance skated12 km55th pct
  • Offensive-zone time47.3%87th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

35.2 km/h21st pct

▼ −1.0 km/h since 2024–25

33343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 33.8 km/h, 3rd percentile (27 games)2022–23: 35.8 km/h, 43rd percentile (51 games)2023–24: 35.3 km/h, 26th percentile (71 games)2024–25: 36.2 km/h, 51st percentile (54 games)2025–26: 35.2 km/h, 21st percentile (82 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

4.642nd pct

▼ −1.3 since 2024–25

24681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 3.4, 25th percentile (27 games)2022–23: 3.8, 36th percentile (51 games)2023–24: 5.4, 54th percentile (71 games)2024–25: 5.9, 56th percentile (54 games)2025–26: 4.6, 42nd percentile (82 games)

Distance skated per 60

16.0 km79th pct

▼ −0.5 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.51721–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 15.5 km, 46th percentile (27 games)2022–23: 15.6 km, 61st percentile (51 games)2023–24: 16.4 km, 89th percentile (71 games)2024–25: 16.5 km, 94th percentile (54 games)2025–26: 16.0 km, 79th percentile (82 games)

Hardest shot

133.1 km/h22nd pct

▼ −5.1 km/h since 2024–25

12013014015016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 125.6 km/h, 3rd percentile (27 games)2022–23: 150.9 km/h, 84th percentile (51 games)2023–24: 137.8 km/h, 29th percentile (71 games)2024–25: 138.2 km/h, 39th percentile (54 games)2025–26: 133.1 km/h, 22nd percentile (82 games)

Offensive-zone time

43.5%72nd pct

▼ −2.6 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%48%50%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 45.0%, 88th percentile (27 games)2022–23: 46.2%, 91st percentile (51 games)2023–24: 47.9%, 97th percentile (71 games)2024–25: 46.1%, 94th percentile (54 games)2025–26: 43.5%, 72nd percentile (82 games)