- Age
- 27
- Shoots
- Left
- Height
- 193 cm
- Weight
- 103 kg
- Born
- Scottsdale, USA
- Draft
- 2018, round 1, #4 (OTT)
Career · 2018–19 to 2026–27
- Games
- 577
- Goals
- 213
- Points
- 463
- TOI per game
- 18:10
- xGF% (5v5)
- 54.2%
- Goals above expected
- −70.4
Season by season
The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.
| 2018–19 |   OTT | 71 | 22 | 23 | 45 | −10 | 16:01 | 214 | 10.3% | 10 | 26.1 | 52.4% |
| 2019–20 | OTT | 71 | 21 | 23 | 44 | −14 | 18:56 | 259 | 8.1% | 8 | 35.7 | 54.1% |
| 2020–21 | OTT | 56 | 17 | 19 | 36 | −17 | 18:14 | 220 | 7.7% | 10 | 29.4 | 49.4% |
| 2021–22 | OTT | 79 | 30 | 37 | 67 | −7 | 18:48 | 288 | 10.4% | 17 | 38.3 | 49.0% |
| 2022–23 | OTT | 82 | 35 | 48 | 83 | −10 | 18:38 | 347 | 10.1% | 29 | 48.7 | 57.0% |
| 2023–24 | OTT | 81 | 37 | 37 | 74 | +1 | 19:09 | 357 | 10.4% | 22 | 39.2 | 54.0% |
| 2024–25 | OTT | 72 | 29 | 26 | 55 | 0 | 18:14 | 296 | 9.8% | 23 | 35.1 | 56.0% |
| 2025–26 | OTT | 60 | 22 | 37 | 59 | +4 | 16:58 | 221 | 10.0% | 20 | 29.6 | 61.9% |
| 2026–27 |   FLA | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 17:24 | 12 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 61.0% |
| Total | 2 teams | 577 | 213 | 250 | 463 | −56 | 18:10 | 2,214 | 9.6% | 139 | 283.4 | 54.2% |
Form
Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.
Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.
Player card
How 2018–19 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.
Overall rating
1st line
93rd percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.
- 1st line
- 2nd line
- 3rd line
- 4th line
- Extra / AHL
Scoring
1st line- Goals /601.2294th pct
- Assists /601.4388th pct
- ixG /601.62100th pct
- Goals above expected−70.40th pct
Play-driving
1st line- xGF% (5v5)54.2%91st pct
- CF% (5v5)53.4%90th pct
- Relative xGF%+6.899th pct
- Penalty diff /600.1965th pct
Usage
1st line- TOI per game18:1091st pct
- PP time share61.3%93rd pct
- Offensive zone starts69.0%88th pct
- Quality of competition25.3%95th pct
Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).
Faceoffs
How often Tkachuk wins the draw over 2018–19 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1551+ draws over the same seasons.
Win rate
50.3%
1493–1475 · #87 of 195 regulars, 56th percentile
Against an average centre
51.1%
Opponents won 50.8% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.2% against them.
Wins above average
+32
Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.
Draws per game
5.5
2,968 draws in all.
By dot, attacking to the right
Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.
By zone
- Offensive zone50.7% 1154–1122
- Neutral zone49.8% 239–241
- Defensive zone47.2% 100–112
By strength
- Even strength49.1% 794–823
- Power play51.9% 690–640
- Shorthanded45.0% 9–11
What a win leads to
Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +40 after a win, +3 after a loss. Each win was worth 2.3 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.
Most-faced opponents
- Jordan Staal58.8% 47–33
- Phillip Danault50.0% 30–30
- Elias Lindholm34.5% 20–38
- Adam Lowry44.4% 24–30
- Nick Suzuki43.8% 21–27
- Mika Zibanejad54.3% 25–21
- Jack Eichel44.2% 19–24
- Patrice Bergeron35.9% 14–25
Season by season
| Season | Draws | Win rate | Against average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018–19 | 149 | 49.0% | 50.0% |
| 2019–20 | 312 | 46.2% | 46.4% |
| 2020–21 | 249 | 47.4% | 48.6% |
| 2021–22 | 435 | 50.1% | 51.0% |
| 2022–23 | 765 | 48.4% | 49.2% |
| 2023–24 | 380 | 52.6% | 53.6% |
| 2024–25 | 347 | 51.3% | 52.2% |
| 2025–26 | 304 | 57.6% | 58.1% |
| 2026–27 | 27 | 63.0% | 62.8% |
Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.
−70.4 goals above expected
Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games
Speed and tracking
From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.
Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.
Tracking
- Top skating speed34.1 km/h45th pct
- Speed bursts over 20 mph559th pct
- Hardest shot143.7 km/h96th pct
- Distance skated17 km87th pct
- Offensive-zone time51.0%97th pct
Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.
Top skating speed
35.5 km/h31st pct
▲ +0.0 km/h since 2024–25
Bursts over 20 mph per 60
2.920th pct
▲ +0.5 since 2024–25
Distance skated per 60
13.5 km1st pct
▼ −0.2 km since 2024–25
Hardest shot
148.5 km/h89th pct
▼ −1.3 km/h since 2024–25
Offensive-zone time
48.6%99th pct
▲ +2.5 points since 2024–25