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Ice Lab

Centre · #59 · Rookie

Jackson Cates

Philadelphia Flyers
Age
29
Shoots
Left
Height
183 cm
Weight
91 kg
Born
Stillwater, USA
Draft
Undrafted

Career · 2020–21 to 2022–23

Games
20
Goals
1
Points
2
TOI per game
9:21
xGF% (5v5)
43.6%
Goals above expected
−1.3

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2020–21PHI4011−310:3670.0%01.158.1%
2021–22PHI11101−29:05812.5%00.638.8%
2022–23PHI500008:5940.0%00.638.6%
Total1 team20112−59:21195.3%02.343.6%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.050.10.150.2101214161820
9m9m9m9m10m10m10m101214161820Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2020–21 to 2022–23 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

Extra / AHL

11th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.328th pct
  • Assists /600.324th pct
  • ixG /600.7246th pct
  • Goals above expected−1.348th pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)43.6%12th pct
  • CF% (5v5)42.3%3rd pct
  • Relative xGF%−2.926th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.6496th pct

Usage

Extra / AHL
  • TOI per game9:213rd pct
  • PP time share0.7%2nd pct
  • Offensive zone starts34.0%11th pct
  • Quality of competition21.1%0th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how). This player is below the threshold, so the percentiles and ratings are for reference only.

Most similar players this season

Needs a regular role to compare.

Faceoffs

How often Cates wins the draw over 2020–21 to 2022–23, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 546+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

55.3%

42–34 · below the 546 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

53.1%

Opponents won 47.8% of their draws; an average centre would have won 52.2% against them.

Wins above average

+2

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

4.5

76 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

62%21 · +6.544%16 · +1.050%2 · +3.044%9 · 0.00%2 · –50%2 · −9.150%2 · 0.077%13 · +1.356%9 · −2.9Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone44.4% 8–10
  • Neutral zone52.8% 19–17
  • Defensive zone68.2% 15–7

By strength

  • Even strength54.8% 40–33
  • Shorthanded66.7% 2–1

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: −5 after a win, −12 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.8 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2020–212454.2%50.8%
2021–223360.6%58.6%
2022–231947.4%46.3%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−1.3 goals above expected

00.511.525101520Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.2 km/h18th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph613th pct
  • Hardest shot111.3 km/h6th pct
  • Distance skated12 km12th pct
  • Offensive-zone time38.8%14th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

34.2 km/h5th pct

▼ −1.0 km/h since 2021–22

333435363721–2222–232021–22: 35.2 km/h, 23rd percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 34.2 km/h, 5th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

8.077th pct

▲ +6.2 since 2021–22

024681021–2222–232021–22: 1.8, 8th percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 8.0, 77th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Distance skated per 60

15.6 km63rd pct

▼ −0.2 km since 2021–22

14.51515.51616.521–2222–232021–22: 15.9 km, 67th percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 15.6 km, 63rd percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Hardest shot

111.3 km/h0th pct

▼ −11.6 km/h since 2021–22

10012014016021–2222–232021–22: 123.0 km/h, 1st percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 111.3 km/h, 0th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Offensive-zone time

38.8%15th pct

▲ +0.2 points since 2021–22

38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–232021–22: 38.7%, 13th percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 38.8%, 15th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)