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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 3, 2009·Philips Arena, Atlanta

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Atlanta Thrashers 6

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Atlanta Thrashers

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Atlanta Thrashers win this game 68% of the time.

ATL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Smith
  3. P1 0:51Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 1:11Shot by Antropov, saved by Smith
  5. P1 1:12Tanguay: High sticking (2 min)
  6. P1 4:34Shot by Hedman, saved by Pavelec
  7. P1 4:45Shot by Hedman, saved by Pavelec
  8. P1 5:56Shot by White, saved by Smith
  9. P1 6:57Shot by Hedman, saved by Pavelec
  10. P1 7:37Shot by St. Louis, saved by Pavelec
  11. P1 8:20Goal by Kovalchuk (Little, Kubina)+15 pts WP
  12. P1 9:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 10:47Shot by Fedoruk, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 11:23Goal by Salmela (Boulton, Thorburn)+12 pts WP
  15. P1 12:51Shot by Stamkos, saved by Pavelec
  16. P1 13:41Shot by Konopka, saved by Pavelec
  17. P1 15:14Meszaros: Holding (2 min)
  18. P1 15:14Afinogenov: Holding (2 min)5v4
  19. P1 15:28Shot by Halpern, saved by Pavelec4v4
  20. P1 15:42Shot by Kubina, saved by Smith4v4
  21. P1 16:45Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec4v4
  22. P1 17:03Shot by Ranger, saved by Pavelec4v4
  23. P1 17:13Shot by Kozlov, saved by Smith4v4
  24. P1 18:54Foster: Tripping (2 min)
  25. P1 19:23Shot by Little, saved by Smith5v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:15Shot by White, saved by Smith5v4
  29. P2 3:35Shot by Bogosian, saved by Smith
  30. P2 5:15Shot by St. Louis, saved by Pavelec
  31. P2 5:43Shot by Walker, saved by Pavelec
  32. P2 6:03Shot by Kane, saved by Smith
  33. P2 7:29Shot by Little, saved by Smith
  34. P2 7:44Fedoruk: Cross checking (2 min)
  35. P2 7:44Kovalchuk: Slashing (2 min)5v4
  36. P2 7:44Veilleux: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4
  37. P2 7:44Popovic: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v3
  38. P2 9:01Goal by Bogosian (Peverley, Enstrom)+7 pts WP
  39. P2 10:38Shot by Bogosian, saved by Smith
  40. P2 11:39Shot by St. Louis, saved by Pavelec
  41. P2 12:42Goal by Peverley (Kane)+3 pts WP
  42. P2 12:41Shot by Kane, saved by Smith
  43. P2 13:11Konopka: Fighting (5 min)
  44. P2 13:11Thorburn: Fighting (5 min)5v4
  45. P2 13:16Shot by Walker, saved by Pavelec
  46. P2 13:17Shot by Walker, saved by Pavelec
  47. P2 13:46Shot by Ohlund, saved by Pavelec
  48. P2 13:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Pavelec
  49. P2 14:01Goal by St. Louis (Hedman, Ohlund)+3 pts WP
  50. P2 15:13Shot by Antropov, saved by Smith
  51. P2 17:24Shot by Ranger, saved by Pavelec
  52. P2 17:42Kubina: Holding (2 min)5v6
  53. P2 17:49Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec4v5
  54. P2 18:05Malone: Cross checking (2 min)4v5
  55. P2 18:28Shot by Ohlund, saved by Pavelec4v4
  56. P2 18:31Kovalchuk: Hooking (2 min)4v4
  57. P2 18:53Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec3v4
  58. P2 19:15Goal by St. Louis (Stamkos, Tanguay)3v4+6 pts WP
  59. P2 19:26Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Smith4v4
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 1:28Shot by Halpern, saved by Pavelec
  63. P3 2:06Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec
  64. P3 2:11Goal by Meszaros (Walker, Lecavalier)+14 pts WP
  65. P3 4:52Boulton: Fighting (5 min)
  66. P3 4:52Fedoruk: Fighting (5 min)4v5
  67. P3 5:23Shot by Hedman, saved by Pavelec
  68. P3 5:24Salmela: Roughing (2 min)
  69. P3 5:42Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec4v5
  70. P3 7:55Shot by Meszaros, saved by Pavelec
  71. P3 8:00Shot by Meszaros, saved by Pavelec
  72. P3 10:06Ranger: Hooking (2 min)
  73. P3 11:51Shot by Peverley, saved by Smith5v4
  74. P3 11:52Goal by Peverley (Kovalchuk, Afinogenov)5v4+12 pts WP
  75. P3 12:16Shot by Kane, saved by Smith
  76. P3 13:15Goal by Kovalchuk (Little, Enstrom)+3 pts WP
  77. P3 13:35Shot by Popovic, saved by Smith
  78. P3 13:36Shot by White, saved by Smith
  79. P3 13:46Shot by Kozlov, saved by Smith
  80. P3 13:47White: Slashing (2 min)
  81. P3 13:47Konopka: Roughing (2 min)
  82. P3 13:47Veilleux: Misconduct (10 min)
  83. P3 14:12Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec4v4
  84. P3 15:01Shot by Kane, saved by Smith4v4
  85. P3 15:41Shot by Meszaros, saved by Pavelec4v4
  86. P3 17:22Shot by Konopka, saved by Pavelec
  87. P3 17:41Shot by Reasoner, saved by Smith
  88. P3 18:34Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Smith
  89. P3 18:47Shot by Stamkos, saved by Pavelec
  90. P3 18:54Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec
  91. P3 18:55Shot by Wright, saved by Pavelec