Wed, Oct 14, 2009·Madison Square Garden, New York
Los Angeles Kings 2, New York Rangers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 112 | 114 | 010 | 236 |
| NYR | 29 | 111 | 11 | 421 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:11NYRVinny ProspalPPAssists: Michael Del Zotto, Ales Kotalik · Tip-in, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 4:21LAKRyan SmythAssists: Davis Drewiske, Justin Williams · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–1
- P1 13:03NYRVinny ProspalPPAssists: Ryan Callahan, Ales Kotalik · Backhand, 0.27 xG1–2
- P2 2:17NYRBrian BoyleGWGAssists: Michal Rozsival, Michael Del Zotto · Snap, 0.04 xG1–3
- P2 7:18LAKMichal HandzusPPAssists: Jack Johnson, Teddy Purcell · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–3
- P3 4:22NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Vinny Prospal, Dan Girardi · Snap, 0.08 xG2–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 2:30LAKRaitis Ivanans: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 7:45NYRDan Girardi: Holding2 min
- P1 11:25LAKPeter Harrold: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P1 12:27LAKMatt Greene: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:17LAKSean O'Donnell: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:17NYRAaron Voros: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:58NYRChris Higgins: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:53NYRBrian Boyle: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:53NYRMarc Staal: Elbowing2 min
- P3 7:00NYRMarc Staal: Cross checking2 min
- P3 14:07NYRDan Girardi: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:24NYRAles Kotalik: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Handzus
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).