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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 14, 2009·Madison Square Garden, New York

Los Angeles Kings 2, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 60% of the time.

NYR winsLAK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Shot by Drury, saved by Ersberg
  3. P1 1:47Shot by Williams, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:30Ivanans: Holding (2 min)
  5. P1 3:11Goal by Prospal (Del Zotto, Kotalik)5v4+14 pts WP
  6. P1 3:49Shot by Drury, saved by Ersberg
  7. P1 3:49Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 4:21Goal by Smyth (Drewiske, Williams)+15 pts WP
  9. P1 4:48Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Ersberg
  10. P1 6:24Shot by Stoll, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 7:34Shot by Doughty, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 7:45Girardi: Holding (2 min)
  13. P1 7:55Shot by Williams, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  14. P1 7:56Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  15. P1 8:40Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  16. P1 10:26Shot by Richardson, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 10:51Shot by Drury, saved by Ersberg
  18. P1 11:25Shot by Harrold, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 11:25Harrold: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
  20. P1 12:27Greene: Tripping (2 min)5v4
  21. P1 13:03Goal by Prospal (Callahan, Kotalik)5v3+16 pts WP
  22. P1 13:02Shot by Callahan, saved by Ersberg5v3
  23. P1 15:08Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Ersberg
  24. P1 15:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 16:03Shot by Scuderi, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P1 18:15Shot by Staal, saved by Ersberg
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:33Shot by Callahan, saved by Ersberg
  30. P2 0:36Shot by Girardi, saved by Ersberg
  31. P2 1:57Shot by Lisin, saved by Ersberg
  32. P2 2:17Goal by Boyle (Rozsival, Del Zotto)+12 pts WP
  33. P2 2:17O'Donnell: Fighting (5 min)
  34. P2 2:17Voros: Fighting (5 min)
  35. P2 3:58Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 3:58Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 3:58Higgins: Hooking (2 min)
  38. P2 4:17Shot by Gaborik, saved by Ersberg4v5
  39. P2 4:34Shot by Gaborik, saved by Ersberg4v5
  40. P2 5:15Shot by Callahan, saved by Ersberg4v5
  41. P2 5:53Boyle: Hooking (2 min)4v5
  42. P2 6:12Shot by Williams, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  43. P2 6:24Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  44. P2 6:44Shot by Doughty, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  45. P2 7:18Goal by Handzus (Johnson, Purcell)4v5+14 pts WP
  46. P2 7:51Shot by Richardson, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 10:04Shot by O'Donnell, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 10:46Shot by Williams, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P2 11:43Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 12:39Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 13:19Shot by Greene, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P2 14:28Shot by Greene, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P2 14:53Staal: Elbowing (2 min)
  54. P2 16:36Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  55. P2 17:59Shot by Staal, saved by Ersberg
  56. P2 18:12Shot by Avery, saved by Ersberg
  57. P2 18:36Shot by Lisin, saved by Ersberg
  58. P2 19:36Shot by Higgins, saved by Ersberg
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:15Shot by Greene, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 1:35Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 3:05Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 3:48Shot by Richardson, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 4:22Goal by Gaborik (Prospal, Girardi)+14 pts WP
  66. P3 7:00Staal: Cross checking (2 min)
  67. P3 8:15Shot by Kopitar, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  68. P3 8:35Shot by Stoll, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  69. P3 9:22Shot by Greene, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 9:36Shot by Drewiske, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 14:07Girardi: Tripping (2 min)
  72. P3 14:23Shot by Kopitar, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  73. P3 18:41Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  74. P3 19:24Kotalik: High sticking (2 min)5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final