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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 17, 2009·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Atlanta Thrashers 4, Buffalo Sabres 2

Away

Atlanta Thrashers

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.

BUF winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Lalime
  3. P1 1:10Shot by Bogosian, saved by Lalime
  4. P1 1:15Shot by Schubert, saved by Lalime
  5. P1 2:20Shot by Kozlov, saved by Lalime
  6. P1 2:55Shot by Hainsey, saved by Lalime
  7. P1 3:34Shot by Roy, saved by Hedberg
  8. P1 5:14Shot by Armstrong, saved by Lalime
  9. P1 5:25Kennedy: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  10. P1 5:59Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Lalime4v5
  11. P1 6:47Goal by Kovalchuk (Antropov, Peverley)4v5+16 pts WP
  12. P1 8:31Shot by Peverley, saved by Lalime
  13. P1 9:02Shot by Kane, saved by Lalime
  14. P1 9:13Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Lalime
  15. P1 9:48Goal by Kovalchuk (Little, Antropov)+15 pts WP
  16. P1 10:17Shot by Rivet, saved by Hedberg
  17. P1 11:11Shot by Hainsey, saved by Lalime
  18. P1 11:35Shot by Roy, saved by Hedberg
  19. P1 12:00Shot by Pominville, saved by Hedberg
  20. P1 12:14Shot by Grier, saved by Hedberg
  21. P1 12:17Shot by Grier, saved by Hedberg
  22. P1 12:17Bogosian: Hooking (2 min)
  23. P1 12:13Shot by Gaustad, saved by Hedberg
  24. P1 13:10Shot by Pominville, saved by Hedberg5v4
  25. P1 14:09Shot by MacArthur, saved by Hedberg5v4
  26. P1 14:48Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Lalime
  27. P1 15:07Shot by Connolly, saved by Hedberg
  28. P1 15:24Shot by Kozlov, saved by Lalime
  29. P1 15:29Shot by White, saved by Lalime
  30. P1 16:33Shot by Stafford, saved by Hedberg
  31. P1 16:39Shot by Stafford, saved by Hedberg
  32. P1 17:14Tallinder: Interference (2 min)
  33. P1 18:56Shot by Grier, saved by Hedberg4v5
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:41Montador: Holding (2 min)
  37. P2 5:01Shot by Little, saved by Lalime
  38. P2 6:31Shot by Paille, saved by Hedberg
  39. P2 6:56Goal by MacArthur (Connolly, Pominville)+16 pts WP
  40. P2 7:03Shot by Peverley, saved by Lalime
  41. P2 7:04Roy: Hooking (2 min)
  42. P2 7:51Shot by Enstrom, saved by Lalime4v5
  43. P2 7:53Goal by White (Enstrom, Kozlov)4v5+15 pts WP
  44. P2 10:57Shot by Kaleta, saved by Hedberg
  45. P2 11:18Bogosian: Hooking (2 min)
  46. P2 11:18Hainsey: Roughing (2 min)5v4
  47. P2 11:33Shot by MacArthur, saved by Hedberg5v3
  48. P2 12:09Shot by Connolly, saved by Hedberg5v3
  49. P2 13:20Shot by Hecht, saved by Hedberg
  50. P2 14:46Shot by Pominville, saved by Hedberg
  51. P2 15:24Shot by Connolly, saved by Hedberg
  52. P2 15:56Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Lalime
  53. P2 17:15Shot by Bogosian, saved by Lalime
  54. P2 17:37Shot by Hecht, saved by Hedberg
  55. P2 18:43Shot by Bogosian, saved by Lalime
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:41Shot by Connolly, saved by Hedberg
  59. P3 0:57Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Lalime
  60. P3 1:49Shot by Gaustad, saved by Hedberg
  61. P3 1:50Shot by Gaustad, saved by Hedberg
  62. P3 1:56Shot by Montador, saved by Hedberg
  63. P3 2:35Shot by Kennedy, saved by Hedberg
  64. P3 4:21Shot by Roy, saved by Hedberg
  65. P3 4:58Shot by Lydman, saved by Hedberg
  66. P3 5:57Shot by Butler, saved by Hedberg
  67. P3 8:09Shot by Lydman, saved by Hedberg
  68. P3 9:50Schubert: Boarding (2 min)
  69. P3 10:11Shot by Connolly, saved by Hedberg5v4
  70. P3 10:31Shot by Connolly, saved by Hedberg5v4
  71. P3 11:57Shot by Lydman, saved by Hedberg
  72. P3 12:17Shot by Gaustad, saved by Hedberg
  73. P3 12:23Shot by Gaustad, saved by Hedberg
  74. P3 14:37Shot by Peverley, saved by Lalime
  75. P3 14:44Shot by Armstrong, saved by Lalime
  76. P3 15:04Shot by Stafford, saved by Hedberg
  77. P3 15:15Shot by Kennedy, saved by Hedberg
  78. P3 15:33Antropov: Cross checking (2 min)
  79. P3 16:25Shot by Stafford, saved by Hedberg5v4
  80. P3 16:26Goal by Stafford (Connolly, Butler)5v4+9 pts WP
  81. P3 16:43Goal by Afinogenov (Kozlov, Hedberg)+10 pts WP
  82. P3 16:50Shot by Grier, saved by Hedberg
  83. P3 18:00Shot by Rivet, saved by Hedberg6v5
  84. P3 18:01Connolly: Cross checking (2 min)6v5
  85. P3 19:24Bogosian: Tripping (2 min)4v5