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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 31, 2009·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Atlanta Thrashers 3, Ottawa Senators 1

Away

Atlanta Thrashers

3

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 85% of the time.

OTT winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:05Shannon: Hooking (2 min)
  3. P1 2:18Shot by Bogosian, saved by Leclaire4v5
  4. P1 3:47Schubert: Tripping (2 min)4v5
  5. P1 4:32Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Pavelec5v4
  6. P1 6:36Shot by Cheechoo, saved by Pavelec
  7. P1 7:16Shot by Kubina, saved by Leclaire
  8. P1 7:33Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 7:51Shot by Little, saved by Leclaire
  10. P1 8:36Shot by Boulton, saved by Leclaire
  11. P1 8:37Shot by Slater, saved by Leclaire
  12. P1 9:41Shot by Lee, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 10:23Shot by Ruutu, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 10:38Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Leclaire
  15. P1 11:49Shot by Enstrom, saved by Leclaire
  16. P1 12:09Shot by Thorburn, saved by Leclaire
  17. P1 12:13Goal by Bogosian (Reasoner)+17 pts WP
  18. P1 12:27Shot by Salmela, saved by Leclaire
  19. P1 13:09Shot by Fisher, saved by Pavelec
  20. P1 14:16Shot by White, saved by Leclaire
  21. P1 14:48Shot by Salmela, saved by Leclaire
  22. P1 17:24Shot by Peverley, saved by Leclaire
  23. P1 18:45Shot by Picard, saved by Pavelec
  24. P1 19:40Shot by Lee, saved by Pavelec
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:05Shot by Lee, saved by Pavelec
  28. P2 2:52Shot by Fisher, saved by Pavelec
  29. P2 3:04Shot by Foligno, saved by Pavelec
  30. P2 3:33Shot by Kovalev, saved by Pavelec
  31. P2 3:42Shot by Popovic, saved by Leclaire
  32. P2 4:53Shot by Regin, saved by Pavelec
  33. P2 6:03Shot by Ruutu, saved by Pavelec
  34. P2 7:37Shot by Ruutu, saved by Pavelec
  35. P2 8:27Shot by Carkner, saved by Pavelec
  36. P2 8:39Shot by Michalek, saved by Pavelec
  37. P2 8:51Shot by Shannon, saved by Pavelec
  38. P2 9:35Shot by Cheechoo, saved by Pavelec
  39. P2 9:53Shot by White, saved by Leclaire
  40. P2 10:57Shot by Thorburn, saved by Leclaire
  41. P2 11:07Shot by Thorburn, saved by Leclaire
  42. P2 11:51Goal by Peverley (Antropov, Schubert)+16 pts WP
  43. P2 14:11Shot by Kuba, saved by Pavelec
  44. P2 14:13Shot by Campoli, saved by Pavelec
  45. P2 14:54Shot by Donovan, saved by Pavelec
  46. P2 16:46Shot by Fisher, saved by Pavelec
  47. P2 16:51Shot by Kovalev, saved by Pavelec
  48. P2 17:15Shot by Fisher, saved by Pavelec
  49. P2 18:31Shot by Picard, saved by Pavelec
  50. P2 0:00Peverley: Hooking (2 min)
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:12Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Pavelec5v4
  54. P3 1:28Alfredsson: Hooking (2 min)5v4
  55. P3 2:07Shot by White, saved by Leclaire4v5
  56. P3 4:28Shot by Carkner, saved by Pavelec
  57. P3 5:14Shot by Picard, saved by Pavelec
  58. P3 5:34Shot by Neil, saved by Pavelec
  59. P3 5:37Shot by Shannon, saved by Pavelec
  60. P3 8:05Shot by Foligno, saved by Pavelec
  61. P3 8:23Shot by Shannon, saved by Pavelec
  62. P3 10:57Shot by Regin, saved by Pavelec
  63. P3 11:13Shot by Neil, saved by Pavelec
  64. P3 11:20Shot by Neil, saved by Pavelec
  65. P3 11:27Shot by Picard, saved by Pavelec
  66. P3 11:27Shot by Picard, saved by Pavelec
  67. P3 13:34Shot by Kozlov, saved by Leclaire
  68. P3 13:56Afinogenov: Interference (2 min)
  69. P3 14:15Shot by Regin, saved by Pavelec5v4
  70. P3 14:25Shot by Shannon, saved by Pavelec5v4
  71. P3 14:22Shot by Shannon, saved by Pavelec5v4
  72. P3 14:25Kubina: Delaying game (2 min)5v4
  73. P3 15:20Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Pavelec5v3
  74. P3 15:27Shot by Fisher, saved by Pavelec5v3
  75. P3 15:30Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Pavelec5v3
  76. P3 15:33Goal by Fisher (Michalek, Alfredsson)5v3+11 pts WP
  77. P3 15:31Shot by Fisher, saved by Pavelec5v3
  78. P3 16:42Shot by Picard, saved by Pavelec
  79. P3 17:10Shot by Shannon, saved by Pavelec
  80. P3 17:33Shot by Kuba, saved by Pavelec
  81. P3 18:07Shot by Kuba, saved by Pavelec
  82. P3 18:29Goal by Afinogenov (Peverley, Antropov)+7 pts WP
  83. P3 19:01Shot by Shannon, saved by Pavelec6v5
  84. P3 0:00Period end