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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 7, 2009·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:54Shot by Stempniak, saved by Osgood
  3. P1 2:37Shot by Stajan, saved by Osgood
  4. P1 2:47Shot by Maltby, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 3:09Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 3:21Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Osgood
  7. P1 4:46Shot by Blake, saved by Osgood
  8. P1 5:16Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Gustavsson
  9. P1 5:41Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Osgood
  10. P1 6:01Shot by Primeau, saved by Osgood
  11. P1 6:28Shot by Kulemin, saved by Osgood
  12. P1 7:17Shot by Helm, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 7:23Shot by Lebda, saved by Gustavsson
  14. P1 8:00Shot by Ericsson, saved by Gustavsson
  15. P1 8:08Shot by May, saved by Gustavsson
  16. P1 9:10Shot by Stuart, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 9:47Shot by Williams, saved by Gustavsson
  18. P1 10:34Goal by Primeau (Orr, Finger)+16 pts WP
  19. P1 12:21Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 12:57Shot by Draper, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P1 13:21Shot by Lebda, saved by Gustavsson
  22. P1 15:04Shot by Wallin, saved by Osgood
  23. P1 15:28Bertuzzi: Holding (2 min)
  24. P1 18:17Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gustavsson
  25. P1 19:34Goal by Kessel (Blake, White)+13 pts WP
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P1 19:33Shot by Blake, saved by Osgood
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Osgood
  30. P2 0:50Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 1:04Ponikarovsky: Holding the stick (2 min)
  32. P2 3:21Blake: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  33. P2 4:10Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  34. P2 4:43Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  35. P2 5:21Goal by Finger (Stempniak, Stajan)+7 pts WP
  36. P2 7:05Shot by Stempniak, saved by Osgood
  37. P2 7:21Shot by White, saved by Osgood
  38. P2 8:13Shot by Maltby, saved by Gustavsson
  39. P2 9:03Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 10:45Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 11:03Draper: Interference (2 min)
  42. P2 11:43Shot by Maltby, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  43. P2 13:02Shot by Grabovski, saved by Osgood5v4
  44. P2 13:24Shot by Kulemin, saved by Osgood
  45. P2 14:30Shot by Rafalski, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P2 14:45Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P2 16:25Shot by Hagman, saved by Osgood
  48. P2 17:38Shot by Grabovski, saved by Osgood
  49. P2 18:31Grabovski: High sticking (2 min)5v6
  50. P2 19:54Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:14Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  54. P3 0:18Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  55. P3 0:18Schenn: Interference (2 min)4v5
  56. P3 1:30Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  57. P3 2:32Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Gustavsson
  58. P3 3:24Shot by Blake, saved by Osgood
  59. P3 3:43Shot by Blake, saved by Osgood
  60. P3 5:59Goal by Cleary (Rafalski, Lidstrom)+5 pts WP
  61. P3 7:22Shot by Grabovski, saved by Osgood
  62. P3 7:52Holmstrom: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  63. P3 8:59Shot by Kessel, saved by Osgood5v4
  64. P3 9:10Shot by Kessel, saved by Osgood5v4
  65. P3 9:22Goal by Mitchell (Kessel, Beauchemin)5v4+4 pts WP
  66. P3 9:47Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Gustavsson
  67. P3 10:22Lebda: Holding (2 min)
  68. P3 11:44Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Osgood5v4
  69. P3 12:44Goal by Ponikarovsky (Grabovski, White)+1 pts WP
  70. P3 12:51Shot by Helm, saved by Gustavsson
  71. P3 12:57Shot by May, saved by Gustavsson
  72. P3 12:58Shot by May, saved by Gustavsson
  73. P3 13:44Mitchell: Slashing (2 min)
  74. P3 13:50Shot by Rafalski, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  75. P3 15:50Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Gustavsson
  76. P3 15:54Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Gustavsson
  77. P3 18:25Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gustavsson
  78. P3 19:38Shot by Primeau, saved by Osgood
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final