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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 14, 2009·Wachovia Center, Philadelphia

Buffalo Sabres 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 62% of the time.

PHI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Richards, saved by Miller
  3. P1 0:24Shot by Hartnell, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:18Shot by Carle, saved by Miller
  5. P1 1:28Shot by Laperriere, saved by Miller
  6. P1 1:28Carcillo: Cross checking (2 min)
  7. P1 2:22Shot by Ennis, saved by Emery4v5
  8. P1 3:11Goal by Vanek (MacArthur, Roy)4v5+16 pts WP
  9. P1 5:34Shot by Ennis, saved by Emery
  10. P1 6:25Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  11. P1 8:03Shot by Kennedy, saved by Emery
  12. P1 8:22Shot by Montador, saved by Emery
  13. P1 9:23Shot by Connolly, saved by Emery
  14. P1 9:37Vanek: Hooking (2 min)
  15. P1 10:03Shot by Pronger, saved by Miller5v4
  16. P1 11:04Shot by Coburn, saved by Miller5v4
  17. P1 12:19Shot by Roy, saved by Emery
  18. P1 12:34Parent: Slashing (2 min)
  19. P1 12:49Shot by Pominville, saved by Emery4v5
  20. P1 15:34Shot by Sekera, saved by Emery
  21. P1 17:21Coburn: Interference (2 min)
  22. P1 17:54Shot by Butler, saved by Emery4v5
  23. P1 18:03Shot by Gaustad, saved by Emery4v5
  24. P1 18:03Pronger: Roughing (2 min)4v5
  25. P1 18:03Gaustad: Roughing (2 min)3v5
  26. P1 18:41Shot by Rivet, saved by Emery4v5
  27. P1 19:58Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:36Powe: Hooking (2 min)
  31. P2 1:06Shot by Connolly, saved by Emery4v5
  32. P2 5:56Shot by Carcillo, saved by Miller
  33. P2 7:02Shot by Sekera, saved by Emery
  34. P2 7:03Carter: Slashing (2 min)
  35. P2 7:25Shot by Connolly, saved by Emery4v5
  36. P2 7:57Butler: Slashing (2 min)4v5
  37. P2 11:02Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  38. P2 12:33Shot by Brière, saved by Miller
  39. P2 12:50Shot by Myers, saved by Emery
  40. P2 12:51Shot by MacArthur, saved by Emery
  41. P2 13:21Shot by Brière, saved by Miller
  42. P2 14:11Shot by Rivet, saved by Emery
  43. P2 14:29Shot by Carcillo, saved by Miller
  44. P2 14:50Goal by Ennis (Kennedy, Kaleta)+16 pts WP
  45. P2 15:36Shot by Carter, saved by Miller
  46. P2 16:56Shot by Carle, saved by Miller
  47. P2 17:10Shot by Mair, saved by Emery
  48. P2 18:22Shot by Carle, saved by Miller
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:28Shot by Powe, saved by Miller
  52. P3 0:33Shot by Parent, saved by Miller
  53. P3 0:58Shot by Kaleta, saved by Emery
  54. P3 2:26Shot by Bartulis, saved by Miller
  55. P3 2:43Goal by Pronger (Carter, Brière)+16 pts WP
  56. P3 4:04Vanek: Slashing (2 min)
  57. P3 4:29Butler: Cross checking (2 min)5v4
  58. P3 4:29Brière: High sticking (2 min)5v4
  59. P3 4:29Brière: High sticking (2 min)4v4
  60. P3 6:21Shot by Ennis, saved by Emery4v5
  61. P3 6:25Goal by Gaustad (Myers, Mair)4v5+16 pts WP
  62. P3 7:23Shot by Asham, saved by Miller
  63. P3 8:28Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  64. P3 9:20Pronger: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
  65. P3 10:18Shot by Richards, saved by Miller4v5
  66. P3 10:20Shot by Carter, saved by Miller4v5
  67. P3 10:21Goal by Carter (Richards, Timonen)4v5+14 pts WP
  68. P3 11:17Shot by Hecht, saved by Emery4v5
  69. P3 12:05Shot by Ellis, saved by Emery
  70. P3 12:38Shot by Pronger, saved by Miller
  71. P3 14:12Hecht: High sticking (2 min)
  72. P3 14:38Shot by Pronger, saved by Miller5v4
  73. P3 14:48Shot by Richards, saved by Miller5v4
  74. P3 18:25Shot by Richards, saved by Miller
  75. P3 19:09Shot by Pronger, saved by Miller6v5
  76. P3 19:34Shot by Carter, saved by Miller6v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final