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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 27, 2009·RBC Center, Raleigh

Atlanta Thrashers 6, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Away

Atlanta Thrashers

6

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.

CAR winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Samsonov, saved by Pavelec
  3. P1 3:13Shot by Cullen, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 3:43Shot by Wallin, saved by Pavelec
  5. P1 3:48Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Pavelec
  6. P1 4:21Shot by Hainsey, saved by Legace
  7. P1 5:23Shot by Cole, saved by Pavelec
  8. P1 6:03Shot by Kostopoulos, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 6:31Shot by Kane, saved by Legace
  10. P1 6:55Shot by Reasoner, saved by Legace
  11. P1 8:06Shot by Cole, saved by Pavelec
  12. P1 8:11Goal by Cole (Gleason, Staal)+15 pts WP
  13. P1 8:09Shot by Gleason, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 8:39Shot by Kane, saved by Legace
  15. P1 9:38Thorburn: Cross checking (2 min)
  16. P1 10:17Shot by Jokinen, saved by Pavelec5v4
  17. P1 10:49Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec5v4
  18. P1 11:00Shot by Whitney, saved by Pavelec5v4
  19. P1 10:45Shot by Corvo, saved by Pavelec5v4
  20. P1 11:51Shot by Peverley, saved by Legace
  21. P1 12:52Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec
  22. P1 15:20Shot by Bogosian, saved by Legace
  23. P1 16:44Shot by Salmela, saved by Legace
  24. P1 17:55Shot by Kostopoulos, saved by Pavelec
  25. P1 18:33Shot by Kubina, saved by Legace
  26. P1 18:37Slater: Tripping (2 min)
  27. P1 19:37Shot by Schubert, saved by Legace5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:12Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Pavelec5v4
  31. P2 2:18Goal by Yelle (Brind'Amour, Gleason)+13 pts WP
  32. P2 2:56Kane: Slashing (2 min)
  33. P2 3:40Shot by Ruutu, saved by Pavelec5v4
  34. P2 3:47Shot by Samsonov, saved by Pavelec5v4
  35. P2 4:57Shot by Wallin, saved by Pavelec
  36. P2 4:59Shot by Wallin, saved by Pavelec
  37. P2 6:30Shot by Cole, saved by Pavelec
  38. P2 6:40Shot by Salmela, saved by Legace
  39. P2 8:06Shot by Thorburn, saved by Legace
  40. P2 9:20Shot by Cullen, saved by Pavelec
  41. P2 9:39Shot by Schubert, saved by Legace
  42. P2 10:04Shot by Antropov, saved by Legace
  43. P2 10:31Goal by Kane (Enstrom, Armstrong)+13 pts WP
  44. P2 11:01Brind'Amour: Hooking (2 min)
  45. P2 13:36Shot by Bogosian, saved by Legace
  46. P2 13:45Goal by Samsonov (Cole)+14 pts WP
  47. P2 14:51Shot by Kane, saved by Legace
  48. P2 15:53Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec
  49. P2 16:31Pitkanen: Cross checking (2 min)
  50. P2 16:42Shot by Antropov, saved by Legace4v5
  51. P2 17:32Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Legace4v5
  52. P2 17:40Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Legace4v5
  53. P2 18:25Goal by Cullen (Kostopoulos, Ward)4v5+6 pts WP
  54. P2 18:28Shot by Kubina, saved by Legace4v5
  55. P2 19:29Shot by Jokinen, saved by Pavelec
  56. P2 19:44Kozlov: Tripping (2 min)
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:05Shot by Kubina, saved by Legace5v4
  60. P3 0:19Shot by Cole, saved by Pavelec5v4
  61. P3 0:55Shot by Peverley, saved by Legace5v4
  62. P3 1:07Shot by Ruutu, saved by Pavelec5v4
  63. P3 2:49Shot by Samsonov, saved by Pavelec
  64. P3 3:01Schubert: High sticking (2 min)
  65. P3 3:45Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec5v4
  66. P3 3:52Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec5v4
  67. P3 4:39Shot by Cullen, saved by Pavelec5v4
  68. P3 5:34Shot by Schubert, saved by Legace
  69. P3 6:21Goal by Kozlov (Little, Salmela)+5 pts WP
  70. P3 7:09Goal by Kovalchuk (Enstrom, Afinogenov)+14 pts WP
  71. P3 7:34Shot by Armstrong, saved by Legace
  72. P3 7:45Shot by Armstrong, saved by Legace
  73. P3 9:00Goal by Afinogenov (Kovalchuk, Enstrom)+29 pts WP
  74. P3 10:55Shot by Thorburn, saved by Legace
  75. P3 11:03Shot by LaRose, saved by Pavelec
  76. P3 11:44Shot by Little, saved by Legace
  77. P3 13:41Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec
  78. P3 13:57Goal by Peverley (Little, Bogosian)+36 pts WP
  79. P3 14:59Shot by Cullen, saved by Pavelec
  80. P3 16:12Shot by Bogosian, saved by Legace
  81. P3 18:32Shot by Peverley, saved by Legace
  82. P3 18:57Goal by Reasoner (White, Kubina)6v5+6 pts WP