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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 5, 2009·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New York Islanders 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.

TBL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:33Shot by Meszaros, saved by Roloson
  3. P1 1:35Goal by Malone (Meszaros, St. Louis)+14 pts WP
  4. P1 2:28Shot by Tambellini, saved by Smith
  5. P1 4:47Shot by Okposo, saved by Smith
  6. P1 6:45Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Smith
  7. P1 9:10Shot by Halpern, saved by Roloson
  8. P1 12:49Shot by Hunter, saved by Smith
  9. P1 13:49Shot by Thompson, saved by Smith
  10. P1 14:53Shot by Gervais, saved by Smith
  11. P1 15:02Foster: Interference (2 min)
  12. P1 15:41Meszaros: Boarding (2 min)4v5
  13. P1 16:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Smith3v5
  14. P1 18:25Shot by St. Louis, saved by Roloson
  15. P1 18:26Witt: Slashing (2 min)
  16. P1 18:36Shot by Meszaros, saved by Roloson5v4
  17. P1 19:06Shot by Meszaros, saved by Roloson5v4
  18. P1 19:08Goal by Downie (Meszaros, St. Louis)5v4+11 pts WP
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:05Jackman: Fighting (5 min)
  22. P2 0:05Hale: Fighting (5 min)5v4
  23. P2 1:13Shot by Park, saved by Smith
  24. P2 1:22Shot by St. Louis, saved by Roloson
  25. P2 1:34Shot by Hunter, saved by Smith
  26. P2 2:21Shot by Downie, saved by Roloson
  27. P2 3:12Shot by Sim, saved by Smith
  28. P2 5:38Witt: Slashing (2 min)
  29. P2 6:32Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Roloson5v4
  30. P2 6:43Shot by Meszaros, saved by Roloson5v4
  31. P2 6:54Shot by Okposo, saved by Smith5v4
  32. P2 7:42Shot by Ohlund, saved by Roloson
  33. P2 7:55Shot by Veilleux, saved by Roloson
  34. P2 8:49Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Roloson
  35. P2 9:42Shot by St. Louis, saved by Roloson
  36. P2 10:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Roloson
  37. P2 10:49Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Smith
  38. P2 10:50Walker: Holding (2 min)
  39. P2 12:35Shot by Streit, saved by Smith4v5
  40. P2 12:55Shot by Tambellini, saved by Smith
  41. P2 13:25Shot by Hedman, saved by Roloson
  42. P2 15:27Shot by Meszaros, saved by Roloson
  43. P2 15:29Shot by Wright, saved by Roloson
  44. P2 15:30Downie: Roughing (2 min)
  45. P2 15:30MacDonald: Roughing (2 min)
  46. P2 15:30Downie: Roughing (2 min)
  47. P2 16:07Shot by Hunter, saved by Smith4v5
  48. P2 17:28Shot by Moulson, saved by Smith4v5
  49. P2 18:54Foster: Elbowing (2 min)
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:35Shot by Gervais, saved by Smith4v5
  53. P3 0:42Shot by Streit, saved by Smith4v5
  54. P3 1:19Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Roloson
  55. P3 2:44Park: Tripping (2 min)
  56. P3 2:58Goal by Halpern (Foster, Lecavalier)5v4+6 pts WP
  57. P3 5:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Smith
  58. P3 6:44Shot by Moulson, saved by Smith
  59. P3 6:55Shot by Nielsen, saved by Smith
  60. P3 6:59Shot by Gervais, saved by Smith
  61. P3 7:52Shot by Hillen, saved by Smith
  62. P3 10:13Shot by Thompson, saved by Smith
  63. P3 10:31Goal by Hedman (Lecavalier, Tanguay)+1 pts WP
  64. P3 11:15Shot by Hunter, saved by Smith
  65. P3 11:49Shot by Gervais, saved by Smith
  66. P3 12:26Shot by Okposo, saved by Smith
  67. P3 12:53Shot by Stamkos, saved by Roloson
  68. P3 13:00Hedman: Holding (2 min)
  69. P3 13:08Shot by Hillen, saved by Smith4v5
  70. P3 15:06Shot by Meyer, saved by Smith
  71. P3 17:11Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Smith
  72. P3 17:18Shot by Jones, saved by Roloson
  73. P3 18:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Roloson