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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 14, 2009·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Michalek, saved by Toskala
  3. P1 0:37Shot by Kessel, saved by Elliott
  4. P1 1:02Shot by Stempniak, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 2:15Shot by Ruutu, saved by Toskala
  6. P1 2:41Shot by Winchester, saved by Toskala
  7. P1 3:11Volchenkov: Slashing (2 min)
  8. P1 6:43Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Elliott
  9. P1 8:03Shot by Blake, saved by Elliott
  10. P1 9:11Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Elliott
  11. P1 9:34Shot by Spezza, saved by Toskala
  12. P1 9:35Shot by Michalek, saved by Toskala
  13. P1 9:35Shot by Michalek, saved by Toskala
  14. P1 12:43Shot by Picard, saved by Toskala
  15. P1 14:21Kessel: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  16. P1 17:29Shot by Blake, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 18:05Shot by Kelly, saved by Toskala
  18. P1 19:04Shot by Winchester, saved by Toskala
  19. P1 19:45Shot by Spezza, saved by Toskala
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:18Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Toskala
  23. P2 2:15Goal by Blake (Finger, Exelby)+18 pts WP
  24. P2 2:40Carkner: Fighting (5 min)
  25. P2 2:40Orr: Fighting (5 min)5v4
  26. P2 4:14Shot by Michalek, saved by Toskala
  27. P2 5:06Shot by Komisarek, saved by Elliott
  28. P2 5:10Shot by Grabovski, saved by Elliott
  29. P2 6:36Shot by Phillips, saved by Toskala
  30. P2 8:32Shot by Primeau, saved by Elliott
  31. P2 9:09Shot by Stempniak, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 10:17Shot by Stajan, saved by Elliott
  33. P2 10:24Blake: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  34. P2 13:04Shot by Foligno, saved by Toskala
  35. P2 13:07Goal by Fisher (Foligno, Kovalev)+21 pts WP
  36. P2 14:06Goal by Kessel (Ponikarovsky, Stajan)+22 pts WP
  37. P2 16:12Shot by Kovalev, saved by Toskala
  38. P2 17:07Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Toskala
  39. P2 18:44Shot by Blake, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 0:00Ponikarovsky: Roughing (2 min)
  41. P2 0:00Ruutu: Roughing (2 min)4v5
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:10Shot by Kessel, saved by Elliott4v4
  45. P3 0:43Stajan: Holding the stick (2 min)4v4
  46. P3 1:12Goal by Spezza (Alfredsson, Kuba)3v4+23 pts WP
  47. P3 1:22Shot by Michalek, saved by Toskala4v4
  48. P3 1:31Shot by Kuba, saved by Toskala4v4
  49. P3 5:12Shot by Kessel, saved by Elliott
  50. P3 5:40Shot by Stajan, saved by Elliott
  51. P3 6:02Goal by Beauchemin (Exelby, Blake)+27 pts WP
  52. P3 7:08Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Elliott
  53. P3 11:03Shot by Grabovski, saved by Elliott
  54. P3 11:11Shot by Blake, saved by Elliott
  55. P3 13:53Shot by Hagman, saved by Elliott
  56. P3 15:14Shot by Stajan, saved by Elliott
  57. P3 17:35Shot by Kuba, saved by Toskala
  58. P3 17:49Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Elliott
  59. P3 19:14Shot by Spezza, saved by Toskala5v6
  60. P3 19:24Shot by Karlsson, saved by Toskala5v6