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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 21, 2009·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  3. P1 0:53Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:19Shot by White, saved by Miller
  5. P1 2:23Shot by Stalberg, saved by Miller
  6. P1 4:02Shot by Hagman, saved by Miller
  7. P1 4:12Shot by Connolly, saved by Gustavsson
  8. P1 4:32Shot by Roy, saved by Gustavsson
  9. P1 5:12Shot by MacArthur, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 5:19Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  11. P1 5:53Shot by Paetsch, saved by Gustavsson
  12. P1 6:00Shot by Sekera, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 6:11Goal by Paetsch (Ellis, Montador)+15 pts WP
  14. P1 6:33Shot by Hecht, saved by Gustavsson
  15. P1 8:44Shot by Stajan, saved by Miller
  16. P1 8:56Shot by Ellis, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 9:23Shot by Ellis, saved by Gustavsson
  18. P1 10:48Shot by Stalberg, saved by Miller
  19. P1 11:45Shot by Gaustad, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 12:40Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Miller
  21. P1 13:21Shot by Stempniak, saved by Miller
  22. P1 14:52Stalberg: Tripping (2 min)5v6
  23. P1 15:39Shot by Montador, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  24. P1 16:26Shot by Stempniak, saved by Miller4v5
  25. P1 17:33Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  26. P1 17:35Shot by Hagman, saved by Miller
  27. P1 18:40Shot by Mair, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P1 19:58Shot by Pominville, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 2:09Shot by MacArthur, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 3:41Goal by Stalberg (Kaberle)+19 pts WP
  33. P2 4:15Shot by Mayers, saved by Miller
  34. P2 5:14Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  35. P2 5:22Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Miller
  36. P2 6:02Shot by Connolly, saved by Gustavsson
  37. P2 8:29Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  38. P2 9:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  39. P2 9:57Shot by Montador, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 12:58Shot by Lydman, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 14:22Shot by Mair, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P2 17:20Goal by White (Stempniak, Kulemin)+23 pts WP
  43. P2 18:03Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  44. P2 18:43Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  45. P2 19:08Shot by Hecht, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P2 19:15Shot by Roy, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P2 19:57Shot by Hecht, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:37Shot by Hagman, saved by Miller
  51. P3 2:36Shot by Stalberg, saved by Miller
  52. P3 2:59Shot by Stalberg, saved by Miller
  53. P3 3:21Shot by Grier, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P3 6:51Shot by Roy, saved by Gustavsson
  55. P3 6:58Shot by Tallinder, saved by Gustavsson
  56. P3 11:42Shot by Finger, saved by Miller
  57. P3 11:55Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  58. P3 12:00Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller
  59. P3 12:32Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  60. P3 12:59Goal by Hecht (Stafford, Roy)+33 pts WP
  61. P3 13:10Shot by Pominville, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 14:26Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  63. P3 14:52Shot by White, saved by Miller
  64. P3 15:49Shot by Hagman, saved by Miller
  65. P3 16:33Shot by Myers, saved by Gustavsson
  66. P3 18:49Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  67. P3 18:55Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Miller
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. OT 0:00Period start
  70. OT 1:37Shot by Komisarek, saved by Miller4v4
  71. OT 1:57Shot by Lydman, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  72. OT 2:14Shot by Blake, saved by Miller4v4
  73. OT 3:23Shot by Stafford, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  74. OT 3:35Goal by Roy (Hecht, Montador)4v4+50 pts WP
  75. OT 3:35Period end