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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 23, 2009·Verizon Center, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 2, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 77% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Connolly, saved by Neuvirth
  3. P1 1:18Goal by Backstrom (Ovechkin, Semin)+14 pts WP
  4. P1 1:50Shot by Morrison, saved by Miller
  5. P1 6:47Goal by Green (Fehr, Clark)+11 pts WP
  6. P1 7:46Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller
  7. P1 8:04Semin: Tripping (2 min)
  8. P1 10:11Shot by Semin, saved by Miller
  9. P1 10:12Shot by Morrison, saved by Miller
  10. P1 11:05Shot by Erskine, saved by Miller
  11. P1 13:23Shot by Steckel, saved by Miller
  12. P1 15:18Shot by Green, saved by Miller
  13. P1 15:34Shot by Green, saved by Miller
  14. P1 16:06Shot by Backstrom, saved by Miller
  15. P1 16:21Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller
  16. P1 16:37Shot by Laich, saved by Miller
  17. P1 16:38Shot by Clark, saved by Miller
  18. P1 17:11Shot by Ellis, saved by Neuvirth
  19. P1 17:47Shot by Montador, saved by Neuvirth
  20. P1 18:50Shot by Semin, saved by Miller
  21. P1 19:31Shot by Stafford, saved by Neuvirth
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:29Shot by Fehr, saved by Miller
  25. P2 0:52Shot by Stafford, saved by Neuvirth
  26. P2 1:13Shot by Hecht, saved by Neuvirth
  27. P2 1:50Shot by Paetsch, saved by Neuvirth
  28. P2 1:58Shot by Rivet, saved by Neuvirth
  29. P2 2:52Knuble: Interference (2 min)
  30. P2 2:57Shot by Myers, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  31. P2 3:19Shot by Stafford, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  32. P2 3:21Stafford: Roughing (2 min)4v5
  33. P2 3:42Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller4v4
  34. P2 3:51Shot by Morrison, saved by Miller4v4
  35. P2 4:08Morrison: Interference (2 min)4v4
  36. P2 4:24Shot by Pominville, saved by Neuvirth3v4
  37. P2 4:56Shot by Roy, saved by Neuvirth4v4
  38. P2 5:04Goal by Gaustad (Roy, Pominville)4v4+13 pts WP
  39. P2 5:25Shot by Semin, saved by Miller4v5
  40. P2 6:07Shot by Semin, saved by Miller4v5
  41. P2 9:18Shot by Sekera, saved by Neuvirth
  42. P2 9:26Shot by Connolly, saved by Neuvirth
  43. P2 9:46Shot by Gaustad, saved by Neuvirth
  44. P2 10:31Shot by Green, saved by Miller
  45. P2 10:47Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller
  46. P2 10:48Goal by Morrison (Fleischmann, Knuble)+14 pts WP
  47. P2 11:02Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller
  48. P2 11:33Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller
  49. P2 11:35Shot by Semin, saved by Miller
  50. P2 12:52Goal by Connolly (Montador, Grier)+14 pts WP
  51. P2 13:25Shot by Lydman, saved by Neuvirth
  52. P2 13:26Shot by Pominville, saved by Neuvirth
  53. P2 13:41Shot by Connolly, saved by Neuvirth
  54. P2 14:17Shot by Montador, saved by Neuvirth
  55. P2 15:23Shot by Hecht, saved by Neuvirth
  56. P2 17:12Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller
  57. P2 19:13Shot by Backstrom, saved by Miller
  58. P2 19:33Shot by Bradley, saved by Miller
  59. P2 19:51Shot by Grier, saved by Neuvirth
  60. P2 19:54Shot by Pominville, saved by Neuvirth
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 1:57Shot by Knuble, saved by Miller
  64. P3 2:30Shot by Roy, saved by Neuvirth
  65. P3 4:44Shot by Laich, saved by Miller
  66. P3 6:36Shot by Grier, saved by Neuvirth
  67. P3 7:45Shot by Kennedy, saved by Neuvirth
  68. P3 7:52Shot by Hecht, saved by Neuvirth
  69. P3 9:20Rivet: Hooking (2 min)
  70. P3 10:29Gaustad: Tripping (2 min)5v4
  71. P3 10:55Goal by Backstrom (Semin, Ovechkin)5v3+12 pts WP
  72. P3 12:10Goal by Ovechkin (Laich, Green)5v4+3 pts WP
  73. P3 13:15Shot by Laing, saved by Miller
  74. P3 14:42Shot by Sekera, saved by Neuvirth
  75. P3 15:58Shot by Myers, saved by Neuvirth
  76. P3 16:50Shot by MacArthur, saved by Neuvirth
  77. P3 17:16Shot by Connolly, saved by Neuvirth
  78. P3 18:00Shot by Fehr, saved by Miller
  79. P3 18:22Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller
  80. P3 18:48Shot by Knuble, saved by Miller
  81. P3 19:25Shot by Gaustad, saved by Neuvirth
  82. P3 19:32Shot by Connolly, saved by Neuvirth
  83. P3 19:37Shot by Morrison, saved by Miller
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final