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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 26, 2009·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 71% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:31Shot by Kelly, saved by Miller
  3. P1 2:37Shot by Carkner, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:43Shot by Keller, saved by Miller
  5. P1 4:45Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  6. P1 4:54Shot by Phillips, saved by Miller
  7. P1 4:58Shot by Picard, saved by Miller
  8. P1 6:12Shot by Winchester, saved by Miller
  9. P1 7:42Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  10. P1 7:47Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  11. P1 8:59Shot by Ruutu, saved by Miller
  12. P1 10:25Shot by Shannon, saved by Miller
  13. P1 13:02Shot by Donovan, saved by Miller
  14. P1 13:27Mair: High sticking (2 min)
  15. P1 14:14Shot by Shannon, saved by Miller4v5
  16. P1 14:38Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller4v5
  17. P1 15:22Shot by Campoli, saved by Miller4v5
  18. P1 15:23Shot by Cheechoo, saved by Miller4v5
  19. P1 15:45Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Miller
  20. P1 16:43Shot by Kovalev, saved by Miller
  21. P1 17:23Shot by Montador, saved by Leclaire
  22. P1 17:57Shot by Neil, saved by Miller
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:34Shot by Connolly, saved by Leclaire
  26. P2 0:47Shot by Kovalev, saved by Miller
  27. P2 1:17Shot by Vanek, saved by Leclaire
  28. P2 1:22Shot by Kennedy, saved by Leclaire
  29. P2 2:47Shot by Ruutu, saved by Miller
  30. P2 2:56Shot by Mair, saved by Leclaire
  31. P2 3:51Shot by Connolly, saved by Leclaire
  32. P2 4:40Shot by Grier, saved by Leclaire
  33. P2 5:15Goal by Shannon (Kovalev, Fisher)+20 pts WP
  34. P2 5:46Shot by Neil, saved by Miller
  35. P2 6:03Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Miller
  36. P2 6:05Goal by Neil (Volchenkov, Phillips)+16 pts WP
  37. P2 6:48Shot by Gaustad, saved by Leclaire
  38. P2 8:10Shot by Grier, saved by Leclaire
  39. P2 8:19Shot by Kennedy, saved by Leclaire
  40. P2 9:28Shot by Ellis, saved by Leclaire
  41. P2 9:34Shot by Pominville, saved by Leclaire
  42. P2 9:46Shot by Campoli, saved by Miller
  43. P2 11:17Neil: Tripping (2 min)
  44. P2 12:42Shot by Roy, saved by Leclaire5v4
  45. P2 13:56Shot by Fisher, saved by Miller
  46. P2 14:38Shot by Carkner, saved by Miller
  47. P2 14:48Shot by Regin, saved by Miller
  48. P2 17:15Goal by Vanek (Grier, Montador)+16 pts WP
  49. P2 17:18Neil: Roughing (2 min)
  50. P2 17:18Mair: Roughing (2 min)5v4
  51. P2 18:50Campoli: Tripping (2 min)4v4
  52. P2 19:18Goal by Pominville (Connolly, Roy)4v4+22 pts WP
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:09Shot by Vanek, saved by Leclaire
  56. P3 2:51Cheechoo: High sticking (2 min)
  57. P3 3:07Shot by Winchester, saved by Miller5v4
  58. P3 5:56Shot by Kennedy, saved by Leclaire
  59. P3 7:48Lydman: Holding (2 min)
  60. P3 8:37Shot by Fisher, saved by Miller4v5
  61. P3 8:48Shot by Fisher, saved by Miller4v5
  62. P3 9:32Shot by Campoli, saved by Miller4v5
  63. P3 11:44Shot by Shannon, saved by Miller
  64. P3 14:11Shot by Kovalev, saved by Miller
  65. P3 14:47Shot by Regin, saved by Miller
  66. P3 16:56Kennedy: Holding (2 min)
  67. P3 18:30Shot by Picard, saved by Miller4v5
  68. P3 18:38Shot by Neil, saved by Miller4v5
  69. P3 19:45Shot by Pominville, saved by Leclaire
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 0:34Shot by Kovalev, saved by Miller4v4
  73. OT 1:02Shot by Sekera, saved by Leclaire4v4
  74. OT 2:21Shot by MacArthur, saved by Leclaire4v4
  75. OT 3:17Shot by Connolly, saved by Leclaire4v4
  76. OT 4:14Shot by Montador, saved by Leclaire4v4
  77. OT 4:33Shot by Winchester, saved by Miller4v4
  78. OT 5:00Period end
  79. SO Period start
  80. SO Goal by Kovalev, unassistedother
  81. SO Goal by Fisher, unassistedother
  82. SO Shot by Connolly, saved by Leclaireother
  83. SO Period end
  84. SO Final