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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 26, 2009·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Atlanta Thrashers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Atlanta Thrashers

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.

TBL winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec
  3. P1 3:55Shot by Malone, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 4:14Shot by Meszaros, saved by Pavelec
  5. P1 4:53Shot by Kane, saved by Smith
  6. P1 6:21Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec
  7. P1 7:12Shot by Thorburn, saved by Smith
  8. P1 7:16Shot by Enstrom, saved by Smith
  9. P1 9:16Kane: Hooking (2 min)
  10. P1 9:56Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec5v4
  11. P1 10:08Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec5v4
  12. P1 10:13Shot by St. Louis, saved by Pavelec5v4
  13. P1 10:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Pavelec5v4
  14. P1 11:46Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Smith
  15. P1 11:48Goal by Antropov (Kovalchuk, Afinogenov)+16 pts WP
  16. P1 13:16Shot by Stamkos, saved by Pavelec
  17. P1 13:31Shot by Ohlund, saved by Pavelec
  18. P1 13:34Goal by Downie (Lecavalier, Ohlund)+17 pts WP
  19. P1 14:27Shot by Hale, saved by Pavelec
  20. P1 15:25Shot by Veilleux, saved by Pavelec
  21. P1 15:40Shot by Veilleux, saved by Pavelec
  22. P1 16:10Wright: Tripping (2 min)
  23. P1 16:35Shot by Peverley, saved by Smith4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:42Shot by Malone, saved by Pavelec
  27. P2 0:43Shot by Malone, saved by Pavelec
  28. P2 1:18Shot by Armstrong, saved by Smith
  29. P2 1:31Shot by Armstrong, saved by Smith
  30. P2 3:06Shot by Little, saved by Smith
  31. P2 3:51Shot by Reasoner, saved by Smith
  32. P2 4:44Goal by Lundin (Lecavalier)+19 pts WP
  33. P2 5:30Shot by Kane, saved by Smith
  34. P2 6:04Shot by Foster, saved by Pavelec
  35. P2 6:37Shot by Konopka, saved by Pavelec
  36. P2 6:51Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Smith
  37. P2 8:07Shot by Tanguay, saved by Pavelec
  38. P2 8:52Shot by Foster, saved by Pavelec
  39. P2 9:14Shot by Malone, saved by Pavelec
  40. P2 9:17Little: Roughing (2 min)
  41. P2 9:17Hedman: Roughing (2 min)
  42. P2 10:16Shot by Foster, saved by Pavelec4v4
  43. P2 12:08Shot by Downie, saved by Pavelec
  44. P2 12:32Shot by Schubert, saved by Smith
  45. P2 13:59Stamkos: Hooking (2 min)
  46. P2 15:41Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Smith4v5
  47. P2 16:18Shot by Little, saved by Smith
  48. P2 16:30Shot by Bogosian, saved by Smith
  49. P2 16:54Goal by Reasoner (Hainsey, Bogosian)+23 pts WP
  50. P2 17:28Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Smith
  51. P2 17:34Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Smith
  52. P2 17:49Shot by Ohlund, saved by Pavelec
  53. P2 18:48Shot by Smaby, saved by Pavelec
  54. P2 19:07Shot by White, saved by Smith
  55. P2 19:35Shot by Peverley, saved by Smith
  56. P2 19:48Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P2 0:00Downie: Roughing (2 min)
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 5:04Goal by Tanguay (Downie, Lecavalier)+26 pts WP
  61. P3 6:43Shot by St. Louis, saved by Pavelec
  62. P3 6:45Goal by Malone (St. Louis, Stamkos)+14 pts WP
  63. P3 11:29Shot by Meszaros, saved by Pavelec
  64. P3 11:28Shot by Stamkos, saved by Pavelec
  65. P3 11:35Shot by Foster, saved by Pavelec
  66. P3 11:36Boulton: Roughing (2 min)
  67. P3 11:36Wright: Fighting (5 min)5v4
  68. P3 11:36Valabik: Fighting (5 min)4v4
  69. P3 11:36Hale: Roughing (2 min)4v3
  70. P3 11:36Konopka: Roughing (2 min)3v3
  71. P3 11:36Valabik: Roughing (2 min)
  72. P3 12:50Shot by St. Louis, saved by Pavelec
  73. P3 16:50Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Smith
  74. P3 16:50Goal by Kovalchuk (Antropov, Bogosian)+9 pts WP
  75. P3 17:15Shot by Kane, saved by Smith
  76. P3 17:19Shot by Kane, saved by Smith
  77. P3 18:43Shot by Little, saved by Smith5v6
  78. P3 18:49Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Smith5v6