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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 1, 2010·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Atlanta Thrashers 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)

Away

Atlanta Thrashers

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Atlanta Thrashers win this game 77% of the time.

BUF winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Miller
  3. P1 5:30Shot by Ellis, saved by Hedberg
  4. P1 5:55Reasoner: Cross checking (2 min)
  5. P1 6:50Shot by Kane, saved by Miller5v4
  6. P1 9:21Shot by Kozlov, saved by Miller
  7. P1 11:21Shot by Myers, saved by Hedberg
  8. P1 11:59Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Miller
  9. P1 13:23Rivet: Slashing (2 min)
  10. P1 13:57Shot by Kozlov, saved by Miller4v5
  11. P1 14:07Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Miller4v5
  12. P1 15:10Shot by Kubina, saved by Miller4v5
  13. P1 15:52Shot by Hainsey, saved by Miller
  14. P1 18:42Shot by Little, saved by Miller
  15. P1 19:23Shot by Slater, saved by Miller
  16. P1 19:27Montador: Hooking (2 min)
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:00Shot by Kozlov, saved by Miller4v5
  20. P2 3:36Shot by Vanek, saved by Hedberg
  21. P2 4:06Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Miller
  22. P2 4:59Shot by White, saved by Miller
  23. P2 5:02Shot by Little, saved by Miller
  24. P2 5:14Shot by White, saved by Miller
  25. P2 5:18Shot by White, saved by Miller
  26. P2 5:48Shot by Gaustad, saved by Hedberg
  27. P2 7:45Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
  28. P2 7:51Shot by Hainsey, saved by Miller
  29. P2 8:55Shot by MacArthur, saved by Hedberg
  30. P2 9:00Shot by Ellis, saved by Hedberg
  31. P2 9:48Shot by Slater, saved by Miller
  32. P2 9:53Shot by Bogosian, saved by Miller
  33. P2 9:56Shot by Antropov, saved by Miller
  34. P2 9:56Goal by Kovalchuk (Antropov, Bogosian)+21 pts WP
  35. P2 10:30Shot by Stafford, saved by Hedberg
  36. P2 11:52Goal by Kane (Salmela, Peverley)+16 pts WP
  37. P2 12:54Afinogenov: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  38. P2 13:10Shot by Vanek, saved by Hedberg5v4
  39. P2 13:47Shot by Vanek, saved by Hedberg5v4
  40. P2 14:32Shot by Stafford, saved by Hedberg5v4
  41. P2 14:50Shot by Thorburn, saved by Miller5v4
  42. P2 16:23Roy: Hooking (2 min)
  43. P2 16:29Goal by Little (White, Enstrom)4v5+8 pts WP
  44. P2 17:09Goal by Hecht (Lydman, Montador)+8 pts WP
  45. P2 17:26Shot by Vanek, saved by Hedberg
  46. P2 17:50Shot by Little, saved by Miller
  47. P2 18:06Afinogenov: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  48. P2 18:43Shot by Schubert, saved by Miller5v4
  49. P2 19:58Shot by Stafford, saved by Hedberg5v4
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 2:19Goal by Connolly (Hecht, Mair)+16 pts WP
  53. P3 2:42Shot by MacArthur, saved by Hedberg
  54. P3 4:13Shot by Mair, saved by Hedberg
  55. P3 4:15Goal by Hecht (Mair, Connolly)+27 pts WP
  56. P3 6:45Shot by Myers, saved by Hedberg
  57. P3 7:10Antropov: Roughing (2 min)
  58. P3 7:10Connolly: Roughing (2 min)5v4
  59. P3 7:10Mair: Roughing (2 min)4v4
  60. P3 8:04Shot by Pominville, saved by Hedberg4v5
  61. P3 10:12Lydman: Interference (2 min)
  62. P3 11:18Shot by Enstrom, saved by Miller4v5
  63. P3 12:56Shot by Hainsey, saved by Miller
  64. P3 14:39Shot by Peverley, saved by Miller
  65. P3 15:17Shot by Connolly, saved by Hedberg
  66. P3 16:05Shot by Montador, saved by Hedberg
  67. P3 17:23Shot by Connolly, saved by Hedberg
  68. P3 18:09Hecht: Tripping (2 min)
  69. P3 18:22Shot by Enstrom, saved by Miller4v5
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 0:51Shot by Peverley, saved by Miller4v4
  73. OT 1:30Shot by Antropov, saved by Miller4v4
  74. OT 2:26Shot by Bogosian, saved by Miller4v4
  75. OT 3:48Shot by Afinogenov, saved by Miller4v4
  76. OT 4:02Goal by Roy (Myers, Butler)4v4+50 pts WP