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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 8, 2010·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:02Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:17Shot by Stempniak, saved by Miller
  5. P1 2:51Shot by Mair, saved by Toskala
  6. P1 3:14Shot by MacArthur, saved by Toskala
  7. P1 3:20Shot by Gaustad, saved by Toskala
  8. P1 4:25Connolly: Hooking (2 min)
  9. P1 4:34Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller4v5
  10. P1 4:35Shot by Mitchell, saved by Miller4v5
  11. P1 4:49Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller4v5
  12. P1 6:03Shot by Hecht, saved by Toskala4v5
  13. P1 6:19Shot by Hagman, saved by Miller4v5
  14. P1 6:26Shot by White, saved by Miller
  15. P1 6:39Shot by Kennedy, saved by Toskala
  16. P1 6:57Lydman: Interference (2 min)
  17. P1 7:30Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller4v5
  18. P1 8:09Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller4v5
  19. P1 9:00Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Miller
  20. P1 9:26Shot by Mayers, saved by Miller
  21. P1 11:17Shot by Connolly, saved by Toskala
  22. P1 11:26Shot by Stafford, saved by Toskala
  23. P1 11:52Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  24. P1 11:56Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Miller
  25. P1 12:02Shot by Stajan, saved by Miller
  26. P1 12:02Miller: Roughing (2 min)
  27. P1 13:54Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Miller4v5
  28. P1 15:54Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  29. P1 16:00Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  30. P1 16:35Shot by Pominville, saved by Toskala
  31. P1 16:36Wallin: High sticking (2 min)
  32. P1 16:36Wallin: High sticking (2 min)5v4
  33. P1 17:08Goal by Kennedy (Myers, Butler)5v4+17 pts WP
  34. P1 18:39Goal by Myers (Vanek, Connolly)5v4+13 pts WP
  35. P1 0:00Period end
  36. P2 0:00Period start
  37. P2 1:13Shot by Hecht, saved by Toskala
  38. P2 1:37Shot by Pominville, saved by Toskala
  39. P2 2:18Shot by Grier, saved by Toskala
  40. P2 2:24Shot by Kennedy, saved by Toskala
  41. P2 2:40Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller
  42. P2 4:34Shot by Connolly, saved by Toskala
  43. P2 5:04Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  44. P2 5:10Shot by Mitchell, saved by Miller
  45. P2 5:34Shot by White, saved by Miller
  46. P2 5:54Shot by Mair, saved by Toskala
  47. P2 7:06White: Hooking (2 min)6v5
  48. P2 7:30Goal by Myers (Connolly, Butler)5v4+7 pts WP
  49. P2 8:37Shot by Mair, saved by Toskala
  50. P2 8:44Shot by Ellis, saved by Toskala
  51. P2 9:43Shot by White, saved by Miller
  52. P2 11:39Shot by Roy, saved by Toskala
  53. P2 11:54Shot by Stalberg, saved by Miller
  54. P2 13:15Shot by Mitchell, saved by Miller
  55. P2 14:12Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  56. P2 14:30Shot by Montador, saved by Toskala
  57. P2 15:22Shot by Mair, saved by Toskala
  58. P2 17:57Shot by Exelby, saved by Miller
  59. P2 18:29Shot by Hagman, saved by Miller
  60. P2 18:50Roy: Hooking (2 min)
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 1:09Shot by Connolly, saved by Toskala
  64. P3 2:11Goal by Stajan (Schenn, Kulemin)+6 pts WP
  65. P3 2:34Shot by Mair, saved by Toskala
  66. P3 2:35Shot by MacArthur, saved by Toskala
  67. P3 3:04Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  68. P3 4:48Shot by Myers, saved by Toskala
  69. P3 5:15Shot by Connolly, saved by Toskala
  70. P3 7:37Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  71. P3 8:07Shot by Wallin, saved by Miller
  72. P3 10:04Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  73. P3 10:28Shot by Myers, saved by Toskala
  74. P3 11:05Shot by Ellis, saved by Toskala
  75. P3 11:16Shot by Wallin, saved by Miller
  76. P3 11:39Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  77. P3 12:09Shot by Roy, saved by Toskala
  78. P3 12:56Shot by Hagman, saved by Miller
  79. P3 12:58Shot by Stajan, saved by Miller
  80. P3 13:06Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  81. P3 13:41Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Miller
  82. P3 14:30Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  83. P3 15:01Shot by Stajan, saved by Miller
  84. P3 15:34Shot by Wallin, saved by Miller
  85. P3 15:42Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Miller
  86. P3 15:53Shot by Wallin, saved by Miller
  87. P3 16:50Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller
  88. P3 17:17Goal by Mitchell (Stempniak, Schenn)+8 pts WP
  89. P3 17:51Shot by Pominville, saved by Toskala
  90. P3 18:11Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  91. P3 18:16Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  92. P3 18:27Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v6
  93. P3 18:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v6
  94. P3 0:00Period end
  95. P3 0:00Final