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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 18, 2010·Sommet Center, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:02Goal by Hagman (Ponikarovsky)+15 pts WP
  3. P1 2:50Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 3:00Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 3:09Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 3:50Shot by Kaberle, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 5:12Goal by Ponikarovsky, unassisted+14 pts WP
  8. P1 6:58Shot by Bouillon, saved by Gustavsson
  9. P1 7:07Shot by Blake, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 7:10Shot by Stempniak, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 9:00Goal by Stajan (Kaberle, Schenn)+10 pts WP
  12. P1 9:39Rosehill: Tripping (2 min)
  13. P1 11:04Shot by Arnott, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  14. P1 11:05Shot by Jones, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  15. P1 11:47Shot by Bouillon, saved by Gustavsson
  16. P1 12:12Shot by Ward, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 13:22Shot by Hagman, saved by Ellis
  18. P1 13:25Shot by Hagman, saved by Ellis
  19. P1 13:28Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Ellis
  20. P1 15:08Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P1 16:21Shot by Spaling, saved by Gustavsson
  22. P1 18:30Goc: Hooking (2 min)
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:31Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Gustavsson
  26. P2 1:39Shot by Franson, saved by Gustavsson
  27. P2 3:20Kessel: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
  28. P2 5:35Shot by Blake, saved by Ellis
  29. P2 6:25Suter: Tripping (2 min)
  30. P2 7:03Shot by Stempniak, saved by Ellis4v5
  31. P2 9:17Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 9:40Shot by Erat, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 9:53Shot by White, saved by Ellis
  34. P2 10:32Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ellis
  35. P2 11:02Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 11:25Shot by Hagman, saved by Ellis
  37. P2 13:16Shot by Mitchell, saved by Ellis
  38. P2 15:52Shot by Spaling, saved by Gustavsson
  39. P2 16:01Shot by Ward, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 17:38Goal by Goc (Dumont, Franson)+8 pts WP
  41. P2 19:57Shot by Suter, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:50Shot by Blake, saved by Ellis
  45. P3 1:39Shot by Arnott, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P3 3:55Shot by Arnott, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P3 4:21Goal by Franson (Sullivan)+16 pts WP
  48. P3 6:19Goal by Jones (Spaling, Suter)+28 pts WP
  49. P3 6:56Shot by Arnott, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P3 8:31Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P3 9:18Shot by Legwand, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P3 9:57Shot by Arnott, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P3 10:25Shot by Stempniak, saved by Ellis
  54. P3 11:15Shot by Goc, saved by Gustavsson
  55. P3 11:22Shot by Suter, saved by Gustavsson
  56. P3 11:31Shot by Goc, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 11:51Shot by Sullivan, saved by Gustavsson
  58. P3 12:34Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Ellis
  59. P3 14:12Goal by Kessel (Kulemin, Bozak)+36 pts WP
  60. P3 17:29Klein: Tripping (2 min)
  61. P3 19:03Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  62. P3 19:27Shot by Blake, saved by Ellis4v5
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final