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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 1, 2010·Mellon Arena, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Goal by Letestu (Kennedy, Letang)+14 pts WP
  3. P1 1:52Shot by Malkin, saved by Miller
  4. P1 3:17Johnson: Holding (2 min)
  5. P1 3:50Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury4v5
  6. P1 4:49Shot by Stafford, saved by Fleury4v5
  7. P1 5:15Goal by Roy (Stafford, Montador)4v5+16 pts WP
  8. P1 6:03Goal by Vanek (Roy, Tallinder)+15 pts WP
  9. P1 8:42Shot by Letang, saved by Miller
  10. P1 8:52Fedotenko: Interference (2 min)
  11. P1 9:30Shot by Pominville, saved by Fleury4v5
  12. P1 10:14Shot by Montador, saved by Fleury4v5
  13. P1 12:19Shot by Hecht, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 13:46Shot by Stafford, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 14:59Shot by Guerin, saved by Miller
  16. P1 15:01Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Miller
  17. P1 16:05Shot by Tallinder, saved by Fleury
  18. P1 16:31Shot by Gonchar, saved by Miller
  19. P1 17:48Shot by Pominville, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 17:59Shot by Rivet, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 18:19Shot by Roy, saved by Fleury
  22. P1 19:18Shot by Gonchar, saved by Miller
  23. P1 19:44Shot by Letang, saved by Miller
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 3:12Shot by Adams, saved by Miller
  27. P2 4:30Shot by Kennedy, saved by Miller
  28. P2 4:58Guerin: Slashing (2 min)
  29. P2 5:17Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury4v5
  30. P2 6:25Shot by Roy, saved by Fleury4v5
  31. P2 7:32Goal by Kennedy (Grier, MacArthur)+16 pts WP
  32. P2 7:52Shot by Myers, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 7:55Shot by Kennedy, saved by Fleury
  34. P2 9:52Butler: Hooking (2 min)
  35. P2 10:53Goal by Crosby (Goligoski, Malkin)5v4+15 pts WP
  36. P2 12:12Shot by Crosby, saved by Miller
  37. P2 13:00Shot by Grier, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 14:06Goal by Staal (Malkin, Dupuis)+23 pts WP
  39. P2 14:48Letang: Slashing (2 min)
  40. P2 14:48Vanek: Slashing (2 min)4v5
  41. P2 15:48Shot by Malkin, saved by Miller4v4
  42. P2 16:18Shot by Lydman, saved by Fleury4v4
  43. P2 16:30Shot by Montador, saved by Fleury4v4
  44. P2 16:46Shot by Montador, saved by Fleury4v4
  45. P2 17:07Stafford: Slashing (2 min)
  46. P2 17:07Guerin: High sticking (2 min)5v4
  47. P2 17:30Goal by Crosby, unassisted4v4+23 pts WP
  48. P2 17:40Shot by Rivet, saved by Fleury4v4
  49. P2 17:42Shot by Pominville, saved by Fleury4v4
  50. P2 18:55Goal by Crosby (Letang)4v4+14 pts WP
  51. P2 19:50Shot by Orpik, saved by Miller
  52. P2 19:57Shot by Letang, saved by Miller
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:59Shot by MacArthur, saved by Fleury
  56. P3 1:41Hecht: Tripping (2 min)
  57. P3 1:57Shot by Malkin, saved by Miller5v4
  58. P3 2:16Shot by Gonchar, saved by Miller5v4
  59. P3 3:40Shot by Malkin, saved by Miller5v4
  60. P3 4:44Shot by Montador, saved by Fleury
  61. P3 6:26Shot by Stafford, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 6:33Shot by Crosby, saved by Miller
  63. P3 7:08Shot by Dupuis, saved by Miller
  64. P3 7:40Shot by Butler, saved by Fleury
  65. P3 10:05Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Miller
  66. P3 10:40Shot by Guerin, saved by Miller
  67. P3 10:52Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Miller
  68. P3 11:23Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  69. P3 11:24Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  70. P3 11:27Shot by Malkin, saved by Miller
  71. P3 13:53Shot by Guerin, saved by Miller
  72. P3 14:24Shot by Stafford, saved by Fleury
  73. P3 14:54Shot by Hecht, saved by Fleury
  74. P3 16:14Gonchar: Tripping (2 min)
  75. P3 17:00Goal by Pominville (Connolly, Vanek)4v5+8 pts WP
  76. P3 17:56Orpik: Holding (2 min)
  77. P3 18:17Shot by Staal, saved by Miller4v5
  78. P3 19:01Shot by Pominville, saved by Fleury4v6
  79. P3 19:34Shot by Rivet, saved by Fleury4v6
  80. P3 19:50Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury4v6
  81. P3 19:57Shot by Gaustad, saved by Fleury5v6
  82. P3 0:00Period end