Tue, Feb 9, 2010·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Vancouver Canucks 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 013 | 115 | 012 | 140 |
| TBL | 18 | 05 | 26 | 319 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:00TBLSteven StamkosPPAssists: Martin St. Louis, Ryan Malone · Snap, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 19:53VANRyan KeslerPPAssists: Christian Ehrhoff · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P3 2:52TBLMartin St. LouisSHGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
- P3 15:40TBLMartin St. LouisAssists: Steven Stamkos, Steve Downie · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–3
Penalties (12)
- P1 3:00TBLZenon Konopka: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:00VANRick Rypien: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 6:42VANAlexander Edler: Holding2 min
- P1 9:05TBLVictor Hedman: Holding2 min
- P1 10:40TBLAndrej Meszaros: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:42VANBrad Lukowich: Interference2 min
- P2 7:18VANSteve Bernier: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:22VANShane O'Brien: Interference2 min
- P2 19:46TBLMattias Ohlund: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 1:30TBLSteve Downie: High sticking2 min
- P3 6:43TBLRyan Malone: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:07VANAaron Rome: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Thompson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
TBL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line TBL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (TBL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).