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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 14, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:35Shot by Fedoruk, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 5:18Voros: Fighting (5 min)
  4. P1 5:18Konopka: Fighting (5 min)4v5
  5. P1 6:11Shot by Foster, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 7:23Tanguay: Holding the stick (2 min)
  7. P1 7:35Shot by Callahan, saved by Smith5v4
  8. P1 8:04Shot by Prospal, saved by Smith5v4
  9. P1 8:34Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  10. P1 9:53Shot by Boyle, saved by Smith
  11. P1 10:20Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 10:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 11:20Shot by Avery, saved by Smith
  14. P1 13:07Foster: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
  15. P1 13:56Christensen: Tripping (2 min)5v4
  16. P1 14:27Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Smith4v4
  17. P1 15:03Shot by Prospal, saved by Smith4v4
  18. P1 15:33Goal by Stamkos (Malone, Downie)4v5+17 pts WP
  19. P1 15:43Prust: Fighting (5 min)
  20. P1 15:43Walker: Fighting (5 min)4v5
  21. P1 17:03Goal by Downie (Stamkos, Tanguay)+15 pts WP
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P1 19:59Shot by Prospal, saved by Smith
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:25Shot by Downie, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 1:39Shot by Avery, saved by Smith
  27. P2 1:40Goal by Avery, unassistedother+15 pts WP
  28. P2 1:55Shot by Thompson, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P2 2:02Shot by Tanguay, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 3:56Shot by Foster, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 4:43Foster: Cross checking (2 min)
  32. P2 5:34Rozsival: Boarding (2 min)5v4
  33. P2 5:50Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  34. P2 6:07Goal by Prospal (Staal, Christensen)4v4+20 pts WP
  35. P2 7:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  36. P2 8:45Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Smith
  37. P2 8:47Shot by Jokinen, saved by Smith
  38. P2 10:15Shot by Walker, saved by Lundqvist
  39. P2 10:18Shot by Thompson, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 11:07Shot by Tanguay, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 12:06Goal by Christensen (Prospal, Rozsival)+21 pts WP
  42. P2 13:09Shot by Potter, saved by Smith
  43. P2 13:30Shot by Walker, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 13:37Shot by Meszaros, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 13:52Goal by Christensen, unassisted+14 pts WP
  46. P2 15:56Lundin: Tripping (2 min)
  47. P2 16:14Shot by Rozsival, saved by Smith5v4
  48. P2 17:26Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Smith5v4
  49. P2 18:58Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 19:26Shot by Downie, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 0:00Avery: Roughing (2 min)
  52. P2 0:00Downie: Roughing (2 min)4v5
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:00Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  56. P3 2:01Shot by Lundin, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 2:01Dubinsky: Hooking (2 min)
  58. P3 4:26Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Smith
  59. P3 5:40Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 6:02Shot by Konopka, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 9:40Shot by Drury, saved by Smith
  62. P3 12:03Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Smith
  63. P3 13:35Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 14:42Shot by Avery, saved by Smith
  65. P3 16:10Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Smith
  66. P3 17:07St. Louis: Roughing (2 min)
  67. P3 17:07Girardi: Interference (2 min)5v4
  68. P3 18:11Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  69. P3 18:59Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  70. P3 19:20Shot by Foster, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  71. P3 19:21Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  72. P3 19:45Goal by Drury, unassisted5v60 pts WP
  73. P3 0:00Period end