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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 3, 2010·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 69% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Pominville, saved by Theodore
  3. P1 0:49Shot by Knuble, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:17Schultz: Tripping (2 min)
  5. P1 3:06Morrisonn: Hooking (2 min)5v4
  6. P1 3:18Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore5v4
  7. P1 4:34Shot by Stafford, saved by Theodore5v4
  8. P1 4:40Shot by Kennedy, saved by Theodore5v4
  9. P1 4:57Shot by Laich, saved by Miller5v4
  10. P1 5:07Shot by Laich, saved by Miller
  11. P1 5:44Shot by Tallinder, saved by Theodore
  12. P1 6:49Shot by Vanek, saved by Theodore
  13. P1 8:16Shot by Kaleta, saved by Theodore
  14. P1 9:57Shot by Roy, saved by Theodore
  15. P1 10:00Shot by Vanek, saved by Theodore
  16. P1 10:55Shot by Erskine, saved by Miller
  17. P1 11:04Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller
  18. P1 11:05Shot by Knuble, saved by Miller
  19. P1 12:01Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Miller
  20. P1 12:09Shot by Ellis, saved by Theodore
  21. P1 13:00Stafford: Interference (2 min)
  22. P1 16:13Shot by Roy, saved by Theodore
  23. P1 16:53Pominville: High sticking (2 min)5v6
  24. P1 18:20Shot by Backstrom, saved by Miller4v5
  25. P1 18:59Shot by Morrison, saved by Miller
  26. P1 19:06Shot by Bradley, saved by Miller
  27. P1 19:11Shot by Gordon, saved by Miller
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:06Shot by Backstrom, saved by Miller
  31. P2 1:09Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller
  32. P2 5:55Shot by Poti, saved by Miller
  33. P2 6:16Shot by Ellis, saved by Theodore
  34. P2 6:21Shot by Lydman, saved by Theodore
  35. P2 9:07Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller
  36. P2 11:00Shot by Chimera, saved by Miller
  37. P2 11:25Shot by Fehr, saved by Miller
  38. P2 11:30Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller
  39. P2 11:38Shot by Green, saved by Miller
  40. P2 13:09Shot by Bradley, saved by Miller
  41. P2 13:43Shot by Mair, saved by Theodore
  42. P2 14:01Shot by Laich, saved by Miller
  43. P2 14:08Shot by Laich, saved by Miller
  44. P2 15:23Goal by Chimera (Fehr, Schultz)+23 pts WP
  45. P2 16:23Goal by Hecht (Roy, Lydman)+23 pts WP
  46. P2 16:38Shot by Semin, saved by Miller
  47. P2 17:13Shot by Morrison, saved by Miller
  48. P2 18:14Shot by Bradley, saved by Miller
  49. P2 19:56Shot by Fehr, saved by Miller
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:01Shot by Hecht, saved by Theodore
  53. P3 1:34Shot by Knuble, saved by Miller
  54. P3 2:29Shot by Gordon, saved by Miller
  55. P3 2:43Shot by Gordon, saved by Miller
  56. P3 2:51Shot by Ellis, saved by Theodore
  57. P3 3:24Shot by Fehr, saved by Miller
  58. P3 7:32Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore
  59. P3 8:40Shot by Poti, saved by Miller
  60. P3 9:18Shot by Green, saved by Miller
  61. P3 10:28Goal by Green (Fleischmann, Schultz)+32 pts WP
  62. P3 10:50Shot by Gordon, saved by Miller
  63. P3 10:58Shot by Carlson, saved by Miller
  64. P3 11:09Shot by Myers, saved by Theodore
  65. P3 12:11Shot by Sekera, saved by Theodore
  66. P3 13:12Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller
  67. P3 13:32Shot by Fehr, saved by Miller
  68. P3 15:31Shot by Butler, saved by Theodore
  69. P3 15:50Shot by Ellis, saved by Theodore
  70. P3 15:55Shot by Kennedy, saved by Theodore
  71. P3 16:01Shot by Semin, saved by Miller
  72. P3 16:34Shot by Pominville, saved by Theodore
  73. P3 19:19Goal by Gordon, unassisted6v5+5 pts WP
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final