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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 4, 2010·Verizon Center, Washington

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Washington Capitals 5

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.

WSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by Green, saved by Smith
  3. P1 2:07Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 2:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:17Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 6:10Goal by Fehr, unassisted+15 pts WP
  7. P1 6:30Shot by Semin, saved by Smith
  8. P1 7:16Shot by Schultz, saved by Smith
  9. P1 7:26Foster: Tripping (2 min)
  10. P1 7:54Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Smith5v4
  11. P1 8:00Shot by Green, saved by Smith5v4
  12. P1 8:10Shot by Green, saved by Smith5v4
  13. P1 8:15Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Smith5v4
  14. P1 10:21Shot by Carlson, saved by Smith
  15. P1 10:39Shot by Gordon, saved by Smith
  16. P1 11:45Knuble: Hooking (2 min)
  17. P1 11:55Goal by Downie (Foster, St. Louis)4v5+16 pts WP
  18. P1 12:15Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 12:20Shot by Smaby, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 12:29Parrish: Hooking (2 min)
  21. P1 14:45Shot by Green, saved by Smith
  22. P1 15:18Shot by St. Louis, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 15:53Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 16:40Shot by Gordon, saved by Smith
  25. P1 18:07Shot by Laich, saved by Smith
  26. P1 19:23Shot by Belanger, saved by Smith
  27. P1 19:51Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Varlamov
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:33Shot by Corvo, saved by Smith
  31. P2 0:37Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Smith
  32. P2 0:44Shot by Knuble, saved by Smith
  33. P2 2:17Goal by Knuble (Laich, Morrison)+18 pts WP
  34. P2 5:02Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Smith
  35. P2 5:07Shot by Green, saved by Smith
  36. P2 5:10Backstrom: Tripping (2 min)
  37. P2 6:37Shot by St. Louis, saved by Varlamov4v5
  38. P2 8:21Goal by Knuble (Backstrom, Ovechkin)+13 pts WP
  39. P2 8:38Schultz: Interference (2 min)
  40. P2 9:03Goal by Lecavalier (St. Louis, Foster)4v5+13 pts WP
  41. P2 10:43Shot by Laich, saved by Smith
  42. P2 11:51Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Smith
  43. P2 13:08Hedman: Hooking (2 min)
  44. P2 13:08Green: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4
  45. P2 13:14Laich: High sticking (2 min)4v4
  46. P2 13:19Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Varlamov3v4
  47. P2 14:04Poti: High sticking (2 min)3v5
  48. P2 14:56Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov3v4
  49. P2 15:54Shot by Purcell, saved by Varlamov4v5
  50. P2 16:24Shot by Foster, saved by Varlamov4v5
  51. P2 16:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov4v5
  52. P2 18:10Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  53. P2 18:40Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Varlamov
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:21Shot by St. Louis, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 1:46Shot by Tanguay, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 2:23Shot by Laich, saved by Smith
  59. P3 2:35Shot by Chimera, saved by Smith
  60. P3 3:17Shot by Purcell, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 3:21Shot by Meszaros, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 3:40Shot by Belanger, saved by Smith
  63. P3 4:20Shot by Fehr, saved by Smith
  64. P3 9:21Shot by Foster, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 9:28Shot by Foster, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 9:34Shot by Downie, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 10:11Goal by Walker (Green, Gordon)+13 pts WP
  68. P3 10:30Shot by Green, saved by Smith
  69. P3 10:35Goal by Lecavalier (Purcell, Meszaros)+13 pts WP
  70. P3 12:00Shot by Semin, saved by Smith
  71. P3 12:28Goal by Stamkos (Ohlund, St. Louis)+32 pts WP
  72. P3 13:08Shot by Walker, saved by Smith
  73. P3 13:09Goal by Walker (Green, Chimera)+33 pts WP
  74. P3 15:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 17:14Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Smith
  76. P3 18:38Shot by Laich, saved by Smith
  77. P3 19:46Shot by Meszaros, saved by Varlamov5v6
  78. P3 19:48Stamkos: Hooking (2 min)5v6
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final